Pachuca vs Toluca

Premier League

6-4-6

Sat, Nov 21, 5:50 PM ET

7-6-3

Estadio Hidalgo

Who wins: Pachuca 37%

The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. Pachuca won 37% of them. A draw in 27%. The most likely final: Pachuca 1, Toluca 0. See the full Sim

Toluca has dropped 4 of the last 5.

10,000 simulated matches

37%

PAC win

27%

Draw

36%

TOL win

Expected goals

PAC 1.41, TOL 1.42

Most likely

1-1 (13%), 1-0 (8%), 2-1 (8%)

Both score

57%

3+ goals

53%

Likely scorers	Goal	Shots	On target	Assist
PACSalomón Rondón	40%	3.3	1.2	0.06
TOLHelinho	23%	2.6	0.9	0.25
TOLFederico Viñas	21%	1.8	0.6	0.05
TOLPaulinho	21%	1.8	0.7	0.05
PACOussama Idrissi	17%	1.4	0.4	0.19
TOLAlexis Vega	15%	1.4	0.5	0.12
PACAlan Bautista	11%	1.1	0.3	0.04
TOLNicolás Castro	11%	1.6	0.5	0.11