Sevilla vs Real Betis

La Liga

5-3-4

Sat, Nov 21, 12:30 PM ET

8-2-2

Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán Stadium

Who wins: Betis 37%

The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. Betis won 37% of them. A draw in 27%. The most likely final: Betis 2, Sevilla 1. See the full Sim

Sevilla has dropped 4 of the last 5.

10,000 simulated matches

37%

SEV win

27%

Draw

37%

BET win

Expected goals

SEV 1.48, BET 1.48

Most likely

1-1 (13%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%)

Both score

60%

3+ goals

56%

Likely scorers	Goal	Shots	On target	Assist
BETAbde Ezzalzouli	27%	2.5	0.9	0.17
BETIsco	22%	1.7	0.7	0.13
SEVYoussouf Fofana	18%	1.9	0.7	0.21
SEVFelix Correia	18%	1.7	0.5	0.15
BETAntony	16%	2.0	0.6	0.11
SEVEnrique Salas	15%	1.3	0.4	0.03
SEVLucas Stassin	14%	1.4	0.4	0.11
BETTroy Parrott	14%	1.2	0.4	0.10

Attack and defense ratings for every club from its matches in every competition, goals credited by minutes and threat, 10,000 times.

The Sim

Cheat sheet

Player	Stat	His usual	Sim projects	Chance he gets there	Did it, last 10
Abde EzzalzouliBET @ SEV · Sat 12:30 PM	Shots on target	1+	0.9	58%	8 of 10
Troy ParrottBET @ SEV · Sat 12:30 PM	Shots	2+	1.2	41%	3 of 9
Marc BartraBET @ SEV · Sat 12:30 PM	Shots	1+	0.8	54%	7 of 10