Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo

La Liga

Real Madrid

10-0-2

Sat, Nov 21, 3:00 PM ET

Celta Vigo

2-7-3

Santiago Bernabéu

Who wins: Real Madrid 70%

The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. Real Madrid won 70% of them. A draw in 19%. The most likely final: Real Madrid 2, Celta Vigo 0. See the full Sim

Latest

All news

Celta Vigo has dropped 4 of the last 5.

ESPN · 1d ago

Transfer rumors, news: Real Madrid tracking Bayern Munich star Michael Olise

ESPN · 2d ago

Salamanca UDS vs. Celta Vigo - Game Highlights

ESPN · 3d ago

From Ballon d'Or hopes to Real Madrid bench: Should Liverpool re-sign Trent Alexander-Arnold?

Chirp Sim

10,000 simulated matches

70%

RMA win

19%

Draw

11%

CEL win

Expected goals

RMA 2.36, CEL 0.86

Most likely

2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%)

Both score

52%

3+ goals

62%

Likely scorers	Goal	Shots	On target	Assist
RMAKylian Mbappé	57%	5.0	2.5	0.13
RMAJude Bellingham	27%	2.4	0.9	0.20
RMAYan Diomande	25%	1.6	0.6	0.28
RMAArda Güler	19%	1.8	0.7	0.32
CELFerran Jutglà	15%	0.9	0.3	0.04
RMAFederico Valverde	12%	1.0	0.3	0.15
RMAVinícius Júnior	12%	1.2	0.4	0.08
CELPablo Durán	12%	1.1	0.4	0.04

Attack and defense ratings for every club from its matches in every competition, goals credited by minutes and threat, 10,000 times.

The Sim

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Cheat sheet

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Projections

All La Liga projections

Player	Stat	His usual	Sim projects	Chance he gets there	Did it, last 10
Kylian MbappéRMA vs CEL · Sat 3:00 PM	Goals	1+	0.8	54%	7 of 10
Federico ValverdeRMA vs CEL · Sat 3:00 PM	Shots	2+	1	36%	3 of 10
Pablo DuránCEL @ RMA · Sat 3:00 PM	Shots	2+	1.1	39%	4 of 10