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Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia

La Liga

3-3-5

vs

Sat, Nov 21, 10:15 AM ET

2-3-7

Estadio de Vallecas

Who wins: Rayo 52%

The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. Rayo won 52% of them. A draw in 28%. The most likely final: Rayo 1, Valencia 0. See the full Sim

Referee

Not named yet

Usually announced a few days before kickoff · league average 5.1 cards a game

Leaders

RAYVAL

Goals

Sergio Camello

Matches: 12, Goals: 7

Umar Sadiq

Matches: 5, Goals: 2

Assists

Unai López

Matches: 12, Assists: 3

Javi Guerra

Matches: 12, Assists: 2

Total Shots

Sergio Camello

26

Arnaut Danjuma

19

Accurate Passes

Florian Lejeune

583

Pepelu

513

Saves

Emil Audero

23

Stole Dimitrievski

44

Season seriesRAY leads series 1-0-4

More La Liga games on November 21

Chirp Sim

10,000 simulated matches

52%

RAY win

28%

Draw

20%

VAL win

Expected goals

RAY 1.60, VAL 0.90

Most likely

1-1 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (11%)

Both score

47%

3+ goals

44%

Likely scorers	Goal	Shots	On target	Assist
RAYSergio Camello	35%	2.4	1.1	0.12
RAYJorge de Frutos	22%	1.7	0.7	0.08
RAYÁlvaro García	13%	1.4	0.4	0.15
RAYFlorian Lejeune	11%	1.6	0.5	0.05
VALJavi Guerra	11%	1.3	0.3	0.13
RAYUnai López	9%	1.3	0.3	0.23
VALGuido Rodríguez	9%	0.6	0.2	0.02
VALArnaut Danjuma	9%	1.4	0.4	0.07

Attack and defense ratings for every club from its matches in every competition, goals credited by minutes and threat, 10,000 times.

The Sim

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Cheat sheet

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Projections

All La Liga projections

Player	Stat	His usual	Sim projects	Chance he gets there	Did it, last 10	Last 5
Pedro DíazRAY vs VAL · Sat 10:15 AM	Shots	2+	2	55%	8 of 10

Where the sim and his last 10 games agree. His usual is the number he beat in about half of his last 20 games.