Getafe vs Atlético Madrid

La Liga

3-3-6

Sun, Nov 22, 3:00 PM ET

9-1-2

Estadio Coliseum

Who wins: Atlético 47%

The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. Atlético won 47% of them. A draw in 32%. The most likely final: Atlético 1, Getafe 0. See the full Sim

Atlético has won 4 of the last 5.

10,000 simulated matches

21%

GET win

32%

Draw

47%

ATM win

Expected goals

GET 0.80, ATM 1.32

Most likely

0-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%), 1-1 (14%)

Both score

40%

3+ goals

34%

Likely scorers	Goal	Shots	On target	Assist
ATMJulián Álvarez	21%	2.1	0.8	0.13
GETMartín Satriano	17%	1.7	0.6	0.06
ATMAlejandro Grimaldo	17%	1.4	0.5	0.14
ATMÁlex Baena	12%	1.3	0.4	0.11
ATMGiuliano Simeone	11%	1.0	0.3	0.10
ATMAlexander Sørloth	11%	0.8	0.3	0.01
GETEnes Ünal	9%	1.2	0.3	0.04
GETIvan Azón	8%	1.0	0.3	0.05

Attack and defense ratings for every club from its matches in every competition, goals credited by minutes and threat, 10,000 times.

The Sim

Cheat sheet

Player	Stat	His usual	Sim projects	Chance he gets there	Did it, last 10
Julián ÁlvarezATM @ GET · Sun 3:00 PM	Shots on target	1+	0.8	55%	8 of 10
Giuliano SimeoneATM @ GET · Sun 3:00 PM	Shots	1+	1	59%	8 of 10
Enes ÜnalGET vs ATM · Sun 3:00 PM	Shots	2+	1.2	41%	4 of 10
Ivan AzónGET vs ATM · Sun 3:00 PM	Shots	1+	1	58%	6 of 8