Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain

Ligue 1

5-2-3

Sat, Nov 21, 11:15 AM ET

7-2-1

Allianz Riviera

Who wins: PSG 67%

The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. PSG won 67% of them. A draw in 19%. The most likely final: PSG 2, Nice 1. See the full Sim

PSG has won 5 straight.

10,000 simulated matches

14%

NICE win

19%

Draw

67%

PSG win

Expected goals

NICE 1.09, PSG 2.49

Most likely

1-2 (9%), 0-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%)

Both score

61%

3+ goals

69%

Likely scorers	Goal	Shots	On target	Assist
PSGFerran Torres	41%	2.3	1.2	0.08
PSGDésiré Doué	31%	2.6	1.0	0.23
NICEElye Wahi	28%	1.9	0.9	0.09
PSGSenny Mayulu	21%	1.4	0.5	0.14
PSGFabián Ruiz	20%	1.8	0.6	0.20
PSGAchraf Hakimi	19%	1.6	0.5	0.21
NICEMohamed Amoura	18%	2.0	0.6	0.12
PSGVitinha	17%	1.4	0.4	0.13

Attack and defense ratings for every club from its matches in every competition, goals credited by minutes and threat, 10,000 times.

The Sim

Cheat sheet

Player	Stat	His usual	Sim projects	Chance he gets there	Did it, last 10
Désiré DouéPSG @ NICE · Sat 11:15 AM	Shots on target	1+	1	61%	6 of 10
Elye WahiNICE vs PSG · Sat 11:15 AM	Shots on target	1+	0.9	59%	8 of 10
Senny MayuluPSG @ NICE · Sat 11:15 AM	Shots	2+	1.4	44%	4 of 10
Maghnes AkliouchePSG @ NICE · Sat 11:15 AM	Shots	2+	1	37%	4 of 10
João NevesPSG @ NICE · Sat 11:15 AM	Shots	2+	1	37%	4 of 10
Mika GodtsPSG @ NICE · Sat 11:15 AM	Shots	1+	0.8	54%	6 of 9
Gauthier HeinNICE vs PSG · Sat 11:15 AM	Shots	1+	0.8	54%	6 of 10