Lille vs Lyon

Ligue 1

6-3-1

Sat, Nov 21, 2:45 PM ET

5-2-3

Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Who wins: Lille 42%

The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. Lille won 42% of them. A draw in 30%. The most likely final: Lille 1, Lyon 0. See the full Sim

Last meeting: Lyon 1, Lille 1 (Nov 1).

10,000 simulated matches

42%

LILL win

30%

Draw

28%

LYON win

Expected goals

LILL 1.34, LYON 1.03

Most likely

1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%)

Both score

48%

3+ goals

42%

Likely scorers	Goal	Shots	On target	Assist
LILLSoriba Diaoune	30%	2.1	0.8	0.19
LYONCorentin Tolisso	19%	1.2	0.5	0.13
LILLHákon Haraldsson	17%	1.4	0.5	0.07
LYONErnest Nuamah	16%	1.2	0.4	0.05
LILLEthan Mbappé	12%	0.9	0.3	0.06
LYONZachary Athekame	11%	0.8	0.2	0.16
LILLNathan Ngoy	9%	0.6	0.2	0.04
LILLDilane Bakwa	8%	0.8	0.2	0.08

Attack and defense ratings for every club from its matches in every competition, goals credited by minutes and threat, 10,000 times.

The Sim

Cheat sheet

Player	Stat	His usual	Sim projects	Chance he gets there	Did it, last 10
Corentin TolissoLYON @ LILL · Sat 2:45 PM	Shots	2+	1.2	41%	4 of 10
Ethan MbappéLILL vs LYON · Sat 2:45 PM	Shots	1+	0.9	56%	8 of 10
Dilane BakwaLILL vs LYON · Sat 2:45 PM	Shots	1+	0.8	54%	7 of 10