Illinois Fighting Illini vs Duke Blue Devils

College Basketball

#3Illinois

3-1

Tue, Nov 17, 7:00 PM ET

#2Duke

3-1

Cameron Indoor Stadium

Who wins: Duke 63%

The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. Duke won 63% of them. The most likely final: Duke 77, Illinois 73. See the full Sim

Who wins?

Closes in 2d 18h

ILL3-1

DUKE3-1

Latest

All news

Illinois 0-1 on the road; Duke 3-0 at home.

Recap · 1d ago

No. 2 Duke displays balanced scoring in 90-47 romp past SIU Edwardsville

ESPN · 1d ago

Joaquim Boumtje Boumtje impresses with 2 wild slams for Duke

Recap · 1d ago

No. 3 Illinois rebounds from 1st loss to beat Sam Houston 108-86 behind Ivisic and Stojakovich

Chirp Sim

10,000 simulated games

37%

ILL win

63%

DUKE win

Typical final

ILL 73, DUKE 77

Combined points

150

Spread and total: game

ILL +7.555%45%DUKE -7.5

ILL +6.553%47%DUKE -6.5

ILL +5.551%49%DUKE -5.5

ILL +4.549%51%DUKE -4.5

ILL +3.546%54%DUKE -3.5

O 146.555%45%U 146.5

O 148.552%48%U 148.5

O 150.550%50%U 150.5

O 152.547%53%U 152.5

O 154.545%56%U 154.5

1st half (score at halftime)

ILL +4.555%45%DUKE -4.5

ILL +3.553%47%DUKE -3.5

ILL +2.550%50%DUKE -2.5

ILL +1.547%53%DUKE -1.5

ILL +0.545%55%DUKE -0.5

O 71.559%41%U 71.5

O 73.554%46%U 73.5

O 75.550%50%U 75.5

O 77.545%55%U 77.5

O 79.541%59%U 79.5

From 10,000 simulated games.

Players to watch	PTS	REB	AST	Chance
ILLAndrej Stojakovic	15.6	4.4	2.0	15+ 55%
DUKEPatrick Ngongba II	12.4	7.2	2.4	15+ 32%
DUKEJohn Blackwell	11.2	2.8	1.1	15+ 25%
ILLQuentin Coleman	10.8	5.8	3.2	10+ 58%
ILLStefan Vaaks	10.6	2.7	1.6	10+ 55%
ILLTomislav Ivisic	9.8	4.2	1.7	10+ 49%

Illinois simulated box score

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT
Andrej Stojakovic	29	15.6	4.4	2.0	0.3	0.7	1.6	5.7-12.7	1.1-3.8	3.2-4.5
Ethan Brown	28	6.6	6.1	4.1	1.6	0.0	1.3	2.6-6.5	0.9-3.0	0.4-0.6
Quentin Coleman	27	10.8	5.8	3.2	2.3	0.0	2.2	4.0-9.6	1.1-3.8	1.6-2.5
Tomislav Ivisic	24	9.8	4.2	1.7	0.4	1.1	1.9	3.8-9.9	1.4-5.1	0.8-1.1
Zavier Zens	23	7.2	2.7	0.6	0.0	0.2	0.7	2.6-7.1	1.2-4.2	0.8-1.1
Stefan Vaaks	23	10.6	2.7	1.6	0.5	0.3	1.7	3.7-9.9	1.5-5.4	1.6-2.4
Lincoln Williams	16	4.3	3.3	0.2	0.4	0.2	0.4	1.4-3.2	0.3-1.0	1.2-1.7
Zvonimir Ivisic	14	4.2	3.8	0.2	0.5	1.3	0.7	1.7-4.1	0.4-1.4	0.4-0.5
Jason Jakstys	9	1.8	2.1	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.6	0.7-1.6	0.1-0.4	0.3-0.4
Landon Davis	5	1.1	0.9	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.3-0.8	0.1-0.4	0.3-0.5
Blake Fagbemi	4	1.0	0.9	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.5	0.4-1.0	0.1-0.4	0.1-0.1
Team	200	73.0	36.9	14.4	6.2	3.8	11.9	26.9-66.4	8.2-28.9	10.7-15.4

Duke simulated box score

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT
John Blackwell	26	11.2	2.8	1.1	0.4	0.0	1.5	3.9-10.4	2.0-6.1	1.3-1.8
Patrick Ngongba II	25	12.4	7.2	2.4	0.3	1.4	1.6	4.0-8.6	0.6-1.9	3.9-5.7
Dame Sarr	24	8.8	3.2	1.7	1.2	0.2	1.3	2.9-6.8	0.9-2.8	2.2-3.1
Cayden Boozer	22	7.7	3.6	3.7	0.8	0.0	1.2	2.8-6.5	0.7-2.2	1.4-1.9
Joaquim Boumtje Boumtje	21	8.3	6.0	0.2	0.7	0.8	1.7	2.9-6.8	0.7-2.2	1.8-2.4
Caleb Foster	20	7.8	2.7	1.8	0.2	0.0	0.8	2.8-7.0	1.2-3.7	1.0-1.4
Sebastian Wilkins	19	7.4	4.9	1.4	1.4	0.3	0.7	2.0-4.7	0.4-1.4	3.0-4.1
Deron Rippey Jr.	17	5.1	1.4	1.4	0.9	0.1	0.5	1.8-4.7	0.7-2.3	0.7-1.0
Cameron Williams	10	3.3	1.6	0.2	0.3	0.8	0.1	1.2-3.0	0.4-1.3	0.3-0.5
Drew Scharnowski	9	3.0	2.1	1.1	0.5	0.2	0.4	1.0-2.3	0.2-0.5	0.7-1.1
Bryson Howard	7	2.8	1.2	0.0	0.3	0.0	0.4	1.1-2.6	0.3-1.0	0.4-0.5
Team	200	77.8	36.7	15.0	7.0	3.8	10.2	26.4-63.4	8.1-25.4	16.7-23.5

Every possession played out from each team's shooting, turnovers, rebounding and pace and each player's minutes and usage, 10,000 times. Early season: leans on last season until teams have a few weeks of games.

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