Ball State Cardinals vs Florida State Seminoles

College Basketball

Ball State

1-3

Tue, Nov 17, 7:00 PM ET

Florida St

3-1

Donald L. Tucker Center

Who wins: Florida St 77%

The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. Florida St won 77% of them. The most likely final: Florida St 81, Ball State 71. See the full Sim

Who wins?

Closes in 3d 5h

BALL1-3

FSU3-1

Latest

All news

Ball State 0-2 on the road; Florida St 2-1 at home.

Recap · 14h ago

Sellers, Terrell lead SMU in big first half in 90-65 win over Ball State

ESPN · 14h ago

Ball State Cardinals vs. SMU Mustangs: Game Highlights

Recap · 18h ago

Sebastian Rancik scores 17 to help Florida St. beat Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 84-60

Chirp Sim

10,000 simulated games

23%

BALL win

77%

FSU win

Typical final

BALL 71, FSU 81

Combined points

152

Spread and total: game

BALL +12.554%46%FSU -12.5

BALL +11.552%48%FSU -11.5

BALL +10.550%50%FSU -10.5

BALL +9.547%53%FSU -9.5

BALL +8.545%55%FSU -8.5

O 148.554%46%U 148.5

O 150.552%48%U 150.5

O 152.550%51%U 152.5

O 154.547%53%U 154.5

O 156.545%56%U 156.5

1st half (score at halftime)

BALL +7.555%45%FSU -7.5

BALL +6.553%47%FSU -6.5

BALL +5.550%50%FSU -5.5

BALL +4.547%53%FSU -4.5

BALL +3.545%55%FSU -3.5

O 72.559%41%U 72.5

O 74.554%46%U 74.5

O 76.550%51%U 76.5

O 78.545%55%U 78.5

O 80.540%60%U 80.5

From 10,000 simulated games.

Players to watch	PTS	REB	AST	Chance
FSUSebastian Rancik	16.4	4.9	1.9	20+ 29%
BALLSean Blake	14.0	3.5	3.8	15+ 44%
FSUShon Abaev	13.0	4.9	3.2	15+ 37%
FSUKam Taylor	12.0	3.3	2.1	15+ 29%
BALLTrey Lewis	11.6	3.4	0.6	15+ 27%
FSUAnthony Robinson II	10.9	3.6	3.2	10+ 58%

Ball State simulated box score

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT
Mason Jones	31	7.3	6.0	1.2	1.4	0.4	1.5	2.4-6.1	0.9-2.9	1.6-2.4
Sean Blake	29	14.0	3.5	3.8	1.4	0.5	3.0	4.6-10.7	0.9-2.9	3.8-5.5
Trey Lewis	27	11.6	3.4	0.6	0.2	0.8	1.9	3.9-10.1	1.9-5.8	2.0-2.8
Javion Guy-King	22	10.3	3.8	1.5	0.5	0.3	1.3	3.1-7.6	1.3-3.9	2.8-3.9
Kai McGrew	16	4.1	4.3	0.0	0.9	0.3	1.1	1.4-3.2	0.2-0.8	0.9-1.3
K'Jei Parker	14	5.7	1.9	0.5	0.3	0.0	0.6	2.2-5.6	0.9-3.0	0.4-0.5
Kamden McGilveary	14	4.4	1.8	1.2	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.5-3.7	0.5-1.6	0.8-1.1
Joey Hart	13	3.8	1.8	0.3	0.2	0.9	0.8	1.3-3.0	0.5-1.4	0.8-1.1
Jaden Smith	13	3.3	2.4	0.4	0.2	0.2	0.4	0.8-1.8	0.2-0.6	1.6-2.4
Aaron Fine	12	3.6	0.9	1.2	0.5	0.0	1.0	1.2-3.0	0.5-1.5	0.7-1.0
Jazz Henderson Jr.	10	2.8	0.5	1.7	0.5	0.0	1.2	1.1-2.8	0.5-1.6	0.1-0.2
Team	200	70.9	30.3	12.4	6.6	3.4	13.1	23.5-57.6	8.3-26.0	15.5-22.2

Florida St simulated box score

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT
Sebastian Rancik	30	16.4	4.9	1.9	0.3	0.5	1.4	5.1-11.3	1.6-4.6	4.8-6.2
Shon Abaev	28	13.0	4.9	3.2	1.3	0.5	1.7	4.4-10.7	1.4-4.3	2.8-3.8
Kam Taylor	27	12.0	3.3	2.1	1.3	0.5	1.3	3.6-8.0	1.1-3.2	3.7-4.9
Anthony Robinson II	27	10.9	3.6	3.2	1.6	0.4	1.5	3.4-7.8	1.1-3.1	3.0-4.0
Marcis Ponder	20	7.2	7.4	0.0	0.2	0.8	1.8	1.9-3.9	0.1-0.3	3.2-4.5
Elise Assui	17	4.5	4.2	0.5	1.4	0.0	0.6	1.4-3.1	0.3-1.0	1.4-1.9
Alex Steen	16	5.0	4.3	0.6	0.5	0.3	0.7	1.2-2.6	0.1-0.4	2.4-3.3
Brandon Bass Jr.	13	4.8	0.7	0.0	0.5	0.0	0.7	1.5-3.5	0.7-1.9	1.2-1.7
Cooper Schwieger	12	3.4	1.7	0.6	0.3	0.4	0.3	1.1-2.6	0.4-1.1	0.8-1.1
Martay Barnes	10	4.3	0.5	0.9	0.5	0.0	1.1	1.4-3.4	0.7-2.1	0.9-1.3
Team	200	81.5	35.5	13.0	7.9	3.4	11.1	25.0-56.9	7.5-22.0	24.2-32.7

Every possession played out from each team's shooting, turnovers, rebounding and pace and each player's minutes and usage, 10,000 times. Early season: leans on last season until teams have a few weeks of games.

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