Typical final
ARK 76, IU 82
Spread and total: game
ARK +7.554%46%IU -7.5
ARK +6.552%48%IU -6.5
ARK +5.550%50%IU -5.5
ARK +4.548%53%IU -4.5
ARK +3.545%55%IU -3.5
O 153.555%45%U 153.5
O 155.553%48%U 155.5
O 157.550%50%U 157.5
O 159.548%53%U 159.5
O 161.545%55%U 161.5
1st half (score at halftime)
ARK +4.555%45%IU -4.5
ARK +3.552%48%IU -3.5
ARK +2.550%50%IU -2.5
ARK +1.547%53%IU -1.5
ARK +0.544%56%IU -0.5
O 75.558%42%U 75.5
O 77.554%46%U 77.5
O 79.549%51%U 79.5
O 81.545%55%U 81.5
O 83.540%60%U 83.5
From 10,000 simulated games.
| Players to watch | PTS | REB | AST | Chance |
|---|
| ARKJordan Smith Jr. | 13.6 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 15+ 41% |
| IUDarren Harris | 12.8 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 15+ 36% |
| IUBryce Lindsay | 12.7 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 15+ 35% |
| IUMarkus Burton | 12.1 | 2.6 | 4.6 | 15+ 30% |
| ARKJeremiah Wilkinson | 11.9 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 15+ 30% |
| IUJaeden Mustaf | 10.3 | 4.2 | 2.2 | 10+ 54% |
Arkansas simulated box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|
| Jordan Smith Jr. | 28 | 13.6 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 4.9-11.1 | 1.1-3.5 | 2.7-3.9 |
| Billy Richmond III | 27 | 10.1 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 4.1-8.7 | 0.8-2.5 | 1.1-1.6 |
| Cooper Bowser | 25 | 7.9 | 6.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 3.0-6.0 | 0.3-1.0 | 1.6-2.4 |
| Jeremiah Wilkinson | 24 | 11.9 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 4.1-10.0 | 1.8-5.5 | 1.8-2.6 |
| Davion Thompson | 21 | 7.5 | 2.2 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5-6.0 | 0.9-2.7 | 1.6-2.3 |
| Miikka Muurinen | 19 | 8.3 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 2.5-6.0 | 0.7-2.3 | 2.5-3.5 |
| Maper Maker | 18 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.8-1.8 | 0.2-0.6 | 1.4-2.0 |
| JJ Andrews | 17 | 5.2 | 4.3 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.1-4.7 | 0.5-1.4 | 0.5-0.7 |
| Abdou Toure | 16 | 6.8 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.4-5.4 | 0.7-2.2 | 1.3-1.8 |
| Caleb Ourigou | 5 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4-0.8 | 0.1-0.3 | 0.7-1.0 |
| Team | 200 | 76.0 | 32.3 | 14.6 | 6.7 | 3.3 | 11.8 | 26.8-60.5 | 7.1-22.0 | 15.2-21.8 |
Indiana simulated box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|
| Jaeden Mustaf | 29 | 10.3 | 4.2 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 3.1-6.6 | 0.9-2.6 | 3.3-4.7 |
| Markus Burton | 28 | 12.1 | 2.6 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 4.2-9.3 | 1.4-3.9 | 2.2-3.0 |
| Darren Harris | 27 | 12.8 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 3.6-8.7 | 1.7-5.1 | 3.9-5.2 |
| Aiden Sherrell | 25 | 9.9 | 5.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 3.4-7.2 | 0.9-2.6 | 2.2-3.1 |
| Bryce Lindsay | 25 | 12.7 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 4.1-10.0 | 2.1-6.2 | 2.4-3.3 |
| Samet Yigitoglu | 19 | 7.7 | 5.6 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 3.2-5.8 | 0.3-0.8 | 1.1-1.7 |
| Sam Alexis | 18 | 5.9 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2.2-4.4 | 0.3-1.0 | 1.2-1.7 |
| Trevor Manhertz | 16 | 6.6 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 2.3-5.0 | 0.7-2.1 | 1.3-1.9 |
| Trent Sisley | 14 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.5-3.3 | 0.4-1.3 | 0.3-0.4 |
| Team | 200 | 81.7 | 33.1 | 14.6 | 7.3 | 3.4 | 11.0 | 27.6-60.3 | 8.7-25.6 | 17.9-25.0 |
Every possession played out from each team's shooting, turnovers, rebounding and pace and each player's minutes and usage, 10,000 times. Early season: leans on last season until teams have a few weeks of games.
ARKIU 
ARK