Mercyhurst Lakers vs James Madison Dukes

College Basketball

Mercyhurst

1-3

Sun, Nov 15, 4:00 PM ET

James Madison

1-2

Atlantic Union Bank Center

Who wins: James Madison 62%

The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. James Madison won 62% of them. The most likely final: James Madison 77, Mercyhurst 72. See the full Sim

Who wins?

Closes in 1d 14h

MERC1-3

JMU1-2

Latest

All news

Mercyhurst 0-3 on the road; James Madison 0-1 at home.

Recap · 1d ago

Ivan Juric has 20 points and 15 rebounds, Penn State beats Mercyhurst 72-57

Preview · 2d ago

Penn State and Mercyhurst to meet for cross-conference contest

Recap · 2d ago

James Madison knocks off Delaware 71-61

Chirp Sim

10,000 simulated games

38%

MERC win

62%

JMU win

Typical final

MERC 72, JMU 77

Combined points

149

Spread and total: game

MERC +6.553%47%JMU -6.5

MERC +5.551%49%JMU -5.5

MERC +4.549%51%JMU -4.5

MERC +3.547%53%JMU -3.5

MERC +2.544%56%JMU -2.5

O 146.554%46%U 146.5

O 148.552%49%U 148.5

O 150.549%51%U 150.5

O 152.547%53%U 152.5

O 154.544%56%U 154.5

1st half (score at halftime)

MERC +4.555%45%JMU -4.5

MERC +3.552%48%JMU -3.5

MERC +2.550%50%JMU -2.5

MERC +1.547%53%JMU -1.5

MERC +0.545%55%JMU -0.5

O 71.558%42%U 71.5

O 73.553%47%U 73.5

O 75.549%51%U 75.5

O 77.545%56%U 77.5

O 79.540%60%U 79.5

From 10,000 simulated games.

Players to watch	PTS	REB	AST	Chance
MERCJake Lemelman	17.1	2.8	4.9	20+ 33%
JMUBrandon Lee	15.5	3.1	1.0	15+ 55%
MERCGeoff Sprouse	11.3	3.4	1.7	15+ 26%
JMUAdrian Myers	11.2	5.5	2.1	15+ 24%
JMUK.J. Windham	10.1	3.7	3.6	10+ 52%
MERCCameron Johnson	10.1	5.0	0.6	10+ 52%

Mercyhurst simulated box score

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT
Jake Lemelman	32	17.1	2.8	4.9	0.7	0.4	1.7	6.3-15.5	2.4-7.4	2.2-2.9
Geoff Sprouse	32	11.3	3.4	1.7	0.5	0.2	1.3	4.2-11.3	2.4-7.7	0.5-0.7
Cameron Johnson	26	10.1	5.0	0.6	0.6	0.8	1.1	3.7-8.7	1.1-3.4	1.5-2.1
Hunter Te Ratana	25	10.1	5.0	1.7	1.1	0.6	0.5	4.1-9.3	1.1-3.8	0.8-1.1
Deraje Agbaosi	25	8.8	7.3	0.9	0.9	0.2	2.1	3.6-7.9	0.5-1.6	1.0-1.5
Shane Kirker	19	3.7	3.3	1.6	0.3	0.2	1.3	1.2-2.7	0.3-1.1	1.0-1.5
Markus Maxwell-Grimes	14	4.7	2.4	1.9	0.7	0.2	0.5	1.7-3.9	0.6-1.7	0.8-1.0
Or Faran	13	3.2	1.6	1.3	0.5	0.0	0.9	1.3-3.1	0.5-1.6	0.2-0.2
Chris Leman	9	2.1	2.4	0.0	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.9-1.9	0.2-0.6	0.2-0.2
Marcus Jackson	6	1.6	1.1	0.7	0.0	0.2	0.6	0.5-1.1	0.2-0.5	0.5-0.7
Team	200	72.7	34.3	15.3	5.9	3.4	10.1	27.5-65.4	9.3-29.4	8.7-11.9

James Madison simulated box score

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT
Adrian Myers	27	11.2	5.5	2.1	1.1	2.0	0.8	3.9-8.8	1.3-3.7	2.1-3.0
K.J. Windham	27	10.1	3.7	3.6	0.8	0.0	2.7	3.7-9.1	1.7-4.8	0.9-1.3
Garrett Sundra	26	7.6	7.2	1.0	0.6	1.0	0.8	2.6-5.8	0.9-2.5	1.4-2.0
Preston Fowler	26	7.1	5.7	1.4	0.9	0.2	0.4	2.6-6.3	1.1-3.3	0.7-1.0
Brandon Lee	26	15.5	3.1	1.0	0.0	0.0	1.9	4.4-10.1	1.5-4.5	5.1-7.0
Paul Jones III	21	8.6	3.0	1.4	0.4	0.0	0.5	2.9-7.2	1.6-4.5	1.2-1.6
Gage Lattimore	18	6.7	2.5	1.7	0.7	0.1	1.5	2.4-5.9	1.0-3.0	0.9-1.2
Ace Meeks	15	5.4	0.8	1.1	0.8	0.0	0.7	2.0-4.6	0.9-2.5	0.6-0.8
Jacob Hogarth	14	5.3	4.2	1.0	0.8	0.4	0.7	1.9-4.1	0.3-1.0	1.2-1.8
Team	200	77.5	35.7	14.3	6.1	3.7	10.0	26.4-61.9	10.3-29.8	14.1-19.7

Every possession played out from each team's shooting, turnovers, rebounding and pace and each player's minutes and usage, 10,000 times. Early season: leans on last season until teams have a few weeks of games.

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