Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Georgia Southern Eagles

College Basketball

MTSU

3-1

Tue, Nov 17, 8:00 PM ET

GA Southern

1-3

Jack and Ruth Ann Hill Convocation Center

Who wins: GA Southern 60%

The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. GA Southern won 60% of them. The most likely final: GA Southern 81, MTSU 77. See the full Sim

Who wins?

Closes in 2d 7h

MTSU3-1

GASO1-3

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GA Southern has lost 3 straight.

Chirp Sim

10,000 simulated games

40%

MTSU win

60%

GASO win

Typical final

MTSU 77, GASO 81

Combined points

158

Spread and total: game

MTSU +5.553%47%GASO -5.5

MTSU +4.552%49%GASO -4.5

MTSU +3.549%51%GASO -3.5

MTSU +2.547%53%GASO -2.5

MTSU +1.545%56%GASO -1.5

O 153.555%45%U 153.5

O 155.553%47%U 155.5

O 157.550%50%U 157.5

O 159.548%52%U 159.5

O 161.545%55%U 161.5

1st half (score at halftime)

MTSU +3.555%45%GASO -3.5

MTSU +2.552%48%GASO -2.5

MTSU +1.549%51%GASO -1.5

MTSU +0.546%54%GASO -0.5

MTSU -0.544%56%GASO +0.5

O 75.559%41%U 75.5

O 77.554%46%U 77.5

O 79.549%51%U 79.5

O 81.545%55%U 81.5

O 83.540%60%U 83.5

From 10,000 simulated games.

Players to watch	PTS	REB	AST	Chance
GASODallas Gardner	20.1	10.2	3.5	20+ 52%
MTSUJahvin Carter	16.6	4.1	4.4	20+ 30%
GASOTruman Claytor IV	16.1	5.2	2.4	15+ 58%
GASOEltramon Smith	16.1	5.6	1.2	15+ 59%
MTSUQuintero Barnett	15.0	5.1	2.8	15+ 50%
MTSUMarcus Whitlock Jr.	12.1	3.9	1.8	15+ 31%

MTSU simulated box score

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT
Jahvin Carter	34	16.6	4.1	4.4	1.1	0.0	1.4	5.4-13.1	1.5-5.5	4.3-5.8
Quintero Barnett	30	15.0	5.1	2.8	1.2	0.0	2.1	5.3-12.3	1.8-6.0	2.5-3.4
Marcus Whitlock Jr.	30	12.1	3.9	1.8	0.8	0.8	1.7	4.0-10.2	1.7-5.8	2.4-3.3
Ofri Naveh	24	6.1	6.5	1.0	1.1	0.9	1.5	2.0-4.2	0.3-1.1	1.7-2.6
Kaleb Siler	19	7.8	3.4	1.0	0.0	0.8	1.3	2.8-6.2	0.5-1.7	1.6-2.5
Landyn Colyer	17	5.3	3.4	0.5	0.2	0.0	1.1	1.8-4.4	0.5-1.8	1.1-1.6
Jarred Hall	16	5.5	3.7	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.6	2.2-4.8	0.6-1.9	0.5-0.8
Eli Rice	13	4.6	1.6	0.4	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.5-4.0	0.7-2.4	0.9-1.3
Jax Howard	8	1.8	1.4	1.4	0.4	0.0	0.1	0.7-1.7	0.2-0.8	0.2-0.2
Luka Jovanovic	5	1.0	1.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.5	0.3-0.6	0.1-0.2	0.3-0.5
Aiden Bolden	4	1.3	1.2	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.3	0.4-1.0	0.1-0.4	0.4-0.5
Team	200	77.1	35.5	14.5	5.9	3.4	11.2	26.4-62.5	8.0-27.6	15.9-22.5

GA Southern simulated box score

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT
Truman Claytor IV	36	16.1	5.2	2.4	1.2	0.4	2.2	6.0-14.3	2.5-7.3	1.5-2.1
Dallas Gardner	34	20.1	10.2	3.5	1.1	0.7	1.3	6.2-13.1	0.9-2.9	6.8-9.4
Eltramon Smith	34	16.1	5.6	1.2	1.1	0.7	1.5	5.3-12.4	2.4-7.1	3.2-4.4
Jayden Williams	21	3.6	2.6	1.6	0.5	0.2	0.9	1.1-2.5	0.3-1.0	1.0-1.5
Elidjah Savane	20	4.5	2.3	0.4	1.1	0.7	0.9	1.3-2.9	0.4-1.1	1.5-2.4
Jeromy Davis	17	6.8	4.9	0.8	0.8	0.2	0.5	2.4-5.3	0.7-2.1	1.4-1.9
Josh Dixon	17	7.0	1.0	1.3	0.3	0.0	1.2	2.5-5.8	1.0-2.8	1.0-1.5
Cole Crissman	11	3.6	0.9	0.8	0.5	0.5	0.9	1.4-3.3	0.7-2.1	0.1-0.2
Rashaad Williams	10	2.9	1.3	1.3	0.3	0.0	0.5	1.0-2.5	0.4-1.2	0.4-0.6
Team	200	80.7	34.0	13.3	6.9	3.4	9.9	27.2-62.1	9.3-27.6	16.9-24.0

Every possession played out from each team's shooting, turnovers, rebounding and pace and each player's minutes and usage, 10,000 times. Early season: leans on last season until teams have a few weeks of games.

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