The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. UC Riverside won 59% of them. The most likely final: UC Riverside 79, Fresno St 75. See the full Sim
UCRFRES 
UC Riverside Highlanders
3-0
Best Chirp Rating this season
UC Riverside has won 3 straight.
10,000 simulated games
59%
UCR win
41%
FRES win
Typical final
UCR 79, FRES 75
Combined points
154
Spread and total: game
1st half (score at halftime)
Centered on the market line (shaded), shaped by 10,000 simulated games.
| Players to watch | PTS | REB | AST | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRESDragos Lungu | 19.1 | 7.3 | 2.2 | 20+ 46% |
| UCRTyus Parrish-Tillman | 16.8 | 8.3 | 1.6 | 20+ 31% |
| FRESRoss Candelino | 15.6 | 6.2 | 1.3 | 15+ 55% |
| UCRTony Duckett | 13.6 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 15+ 41% |
| FRESBrian Amuneke | 13.2 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 15+ 38% |
| FRESBradey Henige | 10.4 | 6.9 | 0.2 | 10+ 56% |
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyus Parrish-Tillman | 30 | 16.8 | 8.3 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6.5-14.2 | 1.9-5.5 | 1.9-3.0 |
| Easton Reagan | 28 | 9.2 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 3.7-8.5 | 1.5-4.3 | 0.4-0.5 |
| Tony Duckett | 26 | 13.6 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 4.6-10.4 | 1.5-4.5 | 2.8-3.9 |
| Devon Malcolm | 21 | 9.6 | 5.4 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 3.5-7.5 | 0.6-1.9 | 2.0-2.8 |
| Aidan Rice | 20 | 4.7 | 2.9 | 4.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 1.7-3.9 | 0.6-1.9 | 0.8-1.1 |
| James Evans Jr. | 19 | 7.2 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 2.7-6.5 | 1.1-3.2 | 0.8-1.1 |
| De'Undrae Perteete Jr. | 18 | 3.7 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.3-3.0 | 0.5-1.5 | 0.7-1.0 |
| Ben Waller | 16 | 5.6 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.2-4.9 | 0.7-2.0 | 0.5-0.7 |
| Dallas Washington | 12 | 5.7 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.5-3.6 | 0.6-1.7 | 2.1-3.3 |
| Parker Strauss | 10 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8-1.8 | 0.3-0.8 | 1.0-1.6 |
| Team | 200 | 79.0 | 33.0 | 15.3 | 7.6 | 3.2 | 9.6 | 28.5-64.3 | 9.3-27.3 | 13.0-19.0 |
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Fabrega Urpina | 40 | 10.2 | 4.2 | 6.8 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 3.1-7.5 | 1.4-4.0 | 2.6-3.8 |
| Ross Candelino | 38 | 15.6 | 6.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 5.0-12.1 | 2.3-6.8 | 3.2-4.5 |
| Dragos Lungu | 34 | 19.1 | 7.3 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 7.1-15.7 | 1.5-4.5 | 3.4-5.1 |
| Brian Amuneke | 33 | 13.2 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 3.0 | 4.5-10.4 | 1.9-5.5 | 2.4-3.5 |
| Bradey Henige | 28 | 10.4 | 6.9 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 4.1-7.9 | 0.4-1.3 | 1.7-2.5 |
| Baye Fall | 12 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.1-2.2 | 0.1-0.4 | 0.9-1.3 |
| KJ Perry | 10 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.9-2.0 | 0.3-0.8 | 0.2-0.2 |
| Marko Vuckovic | 5 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.6-1.4 | 0.2-0.7 | 0.3-0.4 |
| Team | 200 | 75.6 | 33.9 | 13.9 | 6.0 | 3.6 | 12.5 | 26.4-59.2 | 8.1-24.0 | 14.7-21.3 |
Every possession played out from each team's shooting, turnovers, rebounding and pace and each player's minutes and usage, 10,000 times. Early season: leans on last season until teams have a few weeks of games.
UCR
This season, preseason left out. Better number in green.
