The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. Toledo won 78% of them. The most likely final: Toledo 81, Detroit Mercy 69. See the full Sim
TOLDETM 
Toledo Rockets
1-3
Best Chirp Rating this season
Detroit Mercy Titans
0-2
Best Chirp Rating this season
10,000 simulated games
78%
TOL win
22%
DETM win
Typical final
TOL 81, DETM 69
Combined points
150
Spread and total: game
1st half (score at halftime)
Centered on the market line (shaded), shaped by 10,000 simulated games.
| Players to watch | PTS | REB | AST | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DETMTyler Spratt | 17.0 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 20+ 33% |
| TOLMynor Strong | 15.6 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 15+ 55% |
| TOLJaylan Ouwinga | 13.9 | 7.1 | 0.8 | 15+ 43% |
| DETMAyden Carter | 13.6 | 8.5 | 0.3 | 15+ 41% |
| TOLAngel Montas Jr. | 13.5 | 5.0 | 1.6 | 15+ 40% |
| TOLSean Jones | 10.6 | 2.9 | 6.8 | 10+ 56% |
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mynor Strong | 33 | 15.6 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 5.8-12.9 | 1.7-6.1 | 2.2-2.9 |
| Sean Jones | 31 | 10.6 | 2.9 | 6.8 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 3.6-8.5 | 1.1-3.8 | 2.3-3.1 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga | 30 | 13.9 | 7.1 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 5.8-12.0 | 1.0-3.4 | 1.3-1.9 |
| Angel Montas Jr. | 24 | 13.5 | 5.0 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 5.6-11.1 | 0.9-3.0 | 1.5-2.2 |
| Will James Jr. | 19 | 5.9 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 2.4-5.0 | 0.5-1.7 | 0.5-0.8 |
| Austin Parks | 16 | 6.4 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 2.5-4.8 | 0.3-1.0 | 1.2-1.8 |
| Chris Riddle | 16 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.6-3.7 | 0.5-1.8 | 1.3-1.9 |
| Rich Barron | 15 | 5.5 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.9-4.4 | 0.6-1.9 | 1.1-1.6 |
| Jaylohn Allen | 10 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.9-2.1 | 0.4-1.2 | 0.4-0.6 |
| Rashaun Porter | 6 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5-1.0 | 0.1-0.4 | 1.2-1.6 |
| Team | 200 | 81.2 | 31.7 | 16.8 | 10.5 | 3.1 | 8.2 | 30.6-65.5 | 7.1-24.3 | 13.0-18.4 |
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Spratt | 40 | 17.0 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 6.0-14.7 | 2.8-8.3 | 2.3-3.2 |
| Lance Stone | 33 | 9.8 | 1.7 | 5.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 3.9 | 3.4-8.2 | 1.5-4.4 | 1.5-2.0 |
| Ayden Carter | 33 | 13.6 | 8.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 5.4 | 5.7-12.9 | 1.5-4.4 | 0.7-1.0 |
| London Maiden | 25 | 6.3 | 4.2 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 2.4-5.3 | 0.6-1.8 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Xavier Istomin-Monroe | 13 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.0-2.1 | 0.2-0.7 | 0.5-0.8 |
| Je'kel Cotton | 12 | 4.0 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.5-3.6 | 0.6-1.8 | 0.3-0.4 |
| Greg Grays Jr. | 6 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0-2.3 | 0.4-1.0 | 0.4-0.5 |
| James Martin | 6 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.9-2.1 | 0.3-0.7 | 0.5-0.7 |
| Jordan Briggs | 6 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.9-2.0 | 0.3-0.8 | 0.1-0.1 |
| Keaton Aldridge Jr. | 6 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.6-1.3 | 0.2-0.5 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Tyler Owens | 6 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7-1.6 | 0.2-0.7 | 0.3-0.5 |
| Elias Palsson | 6 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.8-1.7 | 0.3-0.8 | 0.1-0.2 |
| Vladyslav Semerych | 6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.7-1.5 | 0.2-0.6 | 0.2-0.3 |
| Team | 200 | 68.8 | 34.1 | 13.9 | 5.0 | 3.6 | 17.5 | 25.6-59.3 | 9.1-26.5 | 8.6-12.2 |
Every possession played out from each team's shooting, turnovers, rebounding and pace and each player's minutes and usage, 10,000 times. Early season: leans on last season until teams have a few weeks of games.
