Incarnate Word Cardinals vs Texas State Bobcats

College Basketball

Incarnate Word

0-4

Wed, Nov 18, 8:00 PM ET

Texas St

4-0

Strahan Arena at the University Events Center

Who wins: Texas St 87%

The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. Texas St won 87% of them. The most likely final: Texas St 80, Incarnate Word 63. See the full Sim

Latest

All news

Incarnate Word has lost 4 straight.

Preview · 19h ago

Texas State Bobcats take on the UTSA Roadrunners, aim for 5th straight win

Recap · 1d ago

Ron Jessamy scores 15 as Texas State beats Southern Mississippi 85-65

Preview · 2d ago

Southern Miss visits Texas State after Pernell's 26-point game

Chirp Sim

10,000 simulated games

13%

UIW win

87%

TXST win

Typical final

UIW 63, TXST 80

Combined points

143

Spread and total: game

UIW +18.555%45%TXST -18.5

UIW +17.553%48%TXST -17.5

UIW +16.550%50%TXST -16.5

UIW +15.548%52%TXST -15.5

UIW +14.546%54%TXST -14.5

O 138.556%44%U 138.5

O 140.553%47%U 140.5

O 142.550%50%U 142.5

O 144.547%53%U 144.5

O 146.545%55%U 146.5

1st half (score at halftime)

UIW +10.556%44%TXST -10.5

UIW +9.554%47%TXST -9.5

UIW +8.551%49%TXST -8.5

UIW +7.548%52%TXST -7.5

UIW +6.546%54%TXST -6.5

O 67.560%41%U 67.5

O 69.555%45%U 69.5

O 71.550%50%U 71.5

O 73.545%55%U 73.5

O 75.541%59%U 75.5

From 10,000 simulated games.

Players to watch	PTS	REB	AST	Chance
TXSTDJ Hall	13.4	6.8	2.3	15+ 40%
TXSTPaul Djobet	11.8	5.1	2.0	15+ 29%
UIWIsmail Habib	11.7	2.2	2.0	15+ 27%
UIWGodswill Erheriene	11.1	7.2	0.9	15+ 23%
UIWD'Arrae Goodwin	10.5	6.1	0.7	10+ 56%
TXSTDimp Pernell	9.4	1.5	0.9	10+ 46%

Incarnate Word simulated box score

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT
Ismail Habib	30	11.7	2.2	2.0	0.7	0.0	1.5	3.6-9.9	1.5-5.6	2.9-4.0
D'Arrae Goodwin	30	10.5	6.1	0.7	2.1	0.2	2.8	4.1-10.3	1.2-4.1	1.1-1.6
Godswill Erheriene	30	11.1	7.2	0.9	1.1	1.2	2.8	4.4-9.1	0.4-1.5	1.8-2.9
Brandon McCreesh	30	7.3	1.5	1.5	1.5	0.2	2.2	2.3-6.3	1.1-3.8	1.5-2.1
Mekhi Conner	24	7.3	1.9	4.4	2.1	0.0	3.4	2.1-5.9	1.0-3.6	2.0-2.8
Max Garcia-Plata	19	5.4	3.0	0.5	0.0	0.0	1.4	2.0-5.4	0.9-3.0	0.4-0.6
Christophe Pare	12	3.1	1.9	0.0	0.8	1.2	0.4	1.2-2.7	0.3-1.0	0.5-0.8
Krisnan-Cole Ioane	11	2.0	2.7	0.8	0.0	0.0	1.2	0.4-0.9	0.1-0.3	1.1-1.7
Jayden Thomas	11	3.9	0.9	0.8	0.4	0.0	0.6	1.4-3.5	0.4-1.6	0.6-0.9
DJ Cason	5	0.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.8	0.4-0.8	0.1-0.3	0.1-0.1
Team	200	63.2	27.4	11.6	8.7	2.8	17.1	21.9-54.8	7.0-24.8	12.0-17.5

Texas St simulated box score

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT
Paul Djobet	28	11.8	5.1	2.0	0.7	0.3	1.4	4.2-8.7	1.5-4.1	2.0-2.7
DJ Hall	28	13.4	6.8	2.3	0.9	0.1	2.2	4.6-9.4	0.9-2.5	3.3-4.4
Robert Fields	24	9.1	5.7	1.0	1.6	0.5	1.5	2.4-4.6	0.4-1.0	3.9-5.7
Dimp Pernell	23	9.4	1.5	0.9	1.8	0.0	1.5	3.3-7.2	1.3-3.9	1.5-2.1
Kaden Gumbs	22	5.7	2.3	2.8	1.9	0.3	2.2	2.0-4.4	0.7-2.0	1.1-1.5
Quel'Ron House	18	7.5	1.8	2.2	1.0	0.3	1.6	2.5-5.3	0.6-1.8	1.9-2.6
KJ Younger	13	6.6	1.6	0.4	0.4	0.0	0.8	2.1-4.7	0.8-2.3	1.5-2.1
Kole Grandison	10	2.9	2.1	0.8	0.3	0.0	0.8	1.0-2.1	0.3-0.8	0.6-0.9
Caleb Steger	9	3.3	1.0	0.6	0.5	0.0	0.6	1.1-2.6	0.5-1.5	0.5-0.7
Ky Pernell	9	2.9	1.6	0.3	0.3	0.0	0.3	1.0-2.1	0.3-1.0	0.6-0.8
Ronald Jessamy	9	5.1	2.7	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.8	1.8-3.3	0.2-0.5	1.3-1.8
David Abisogun	8	1.8	1.5	0.5	0.3	0.9	0.4	0.4-1.0	0.1-0.4	0.8-1.2
Team	200	79.5	33.7	14.0	10.3	3.0	14.1	26.4-55.4	7.6-21.8	19.0-26.5

Every possession played out from each team's shooting, turnovers, rebounding and pace and each player's minutes and usage, 10,000 times. Early season: leans on last season until teams have a few weeks of games.

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