Our Lady of the Lake Saints vs UTSA Roadrunners

College Basketball

Lady of Lake

OLLU

Tue, Dec 15, 1:00 PM ET

UTSA

2-1

UTSA Convocation Center

Who wins: UTSA 58%

The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. UTSA won 58% of them. The most likely final: UTSA 74, Lady of Lake 70. See the full Sim

Latest

All news

ESPN · 13h ago

UTSA moves on from head coach Claunch; Bowman takes helm rest of season

Recap · 2d ago

Tenner scores 18, UTSA beats Seattle U 86-59

ESPN · 2d ago

UTSA Roadrunners vs. Seattle U Redhawks: Game Highlights

Chirp Sim

10,000 simulated games

42%

OLLU win

58%

UTSA win

Typical final

OLLU 70, UTSA 74

Combined points

144

Spread and total: game

OLLU +5.554%46%UTSA -5.5

OLLU +4.551%49%UTSA -4.5

OLLU +3.549%51%UTSA -3.5

OLLU +2.547%53%UTSA -2.5

OLLU +1.544%56%UTSA -1.5

O 139.555%45%U 139.5

O 141.553%47%U 141.5

O 143.550%50%U 143.5

O 145.547%53%U 145.5

O 147.545%55%U 147.5

1st half (score at halftime)

OLLU +3.554%46%UTSA -3.5

OLLU +2.552%49%UTSA -2.5

OLLU +1.549%51%UTSA -1.5

OLLU +0.546%54%UTSA -0.5

OLLU -0.544%56%UTSA +0.5

O 68.558%42%U 68.5

O 70.554%46%U 70.5

O 72.549%51%U 72.5

O 74.544%56%U 74.5

O 76.540%60%U 76.5

From 10,000 simulated games.

Players to watch	PTS	REB	AST	Chance
UTSAKJ Tenner	13.0	3.1	3.9	15+ 36%
UTSAJosiah LeGree	9.7	2.8	2.9	10+ 49%
OLLUDevontae Da Costa	9.7	5.5	1.7	10+ 49%
UTSAPreston Turner	8.7	2.9	0.8	10+ 40%
OLLUJaydin Morin-Bishop	8.5	4.3	0.0	10+ 38%
UTSAIsaiah Watts	8.4	2.4	0.7	10+ 37%

Lady of Lake simulated box score

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT
Devontae Da Costa	27	9.7	5.5	1.7	2.5	0.0	1.9	3.3-7.5	0.9-3.0	2.2-3.1
Jaydin Morin-Bishop	25	8.5	4.3	0.0	1.7	1.5	2.0	2.9-6.7	0.8-2.7	1.9-2.6
Isaiah Moore	21	7.2	5.8	0.0	0.8	0.0	1.4	2.5-5.6	0.7-2.3	1.6-2.3
Jermey Irwin	18	6.2	1.3	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.3	2.1-4.7	0.6-1.9	1.4-2.0
Arthur Celestin Jr.	18	6.1	2.9	0.0	0.0	1.6	1.4	2.1-4.7	0.6-1.9	1.3-1.9
Barack Holland	17	6.0	2.9	0.0	0.8	0.0	1.2	2.0-4.5	0.6-1.8	1.4-2.0
Matthew Gonzales	17	5.8	0.0	3.6	0.0	0.0	1.2	2.0-4.5	0.6-1.8	1.3-1.8
Kenyon Elliott	17	5.6	2.6	3.7	0.0	0.0	1.4	1.9-4.2	0.5-1.7	1.3-1.9
Matthew Lewis	13	4.7	4.0	3.7	0.8	0.0	1.0	1.6-3.6	0.4-1.5	1.1-1.5
Santiago Ochoa	10	3.6	3.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.8	1.2-2.8	0.3-1.1	0.8-1.2
Daniel Cruz	8	2.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.6	1.0-2.2	0.3-0.9	0.6-0.9
Eddie McAffe	6	2.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.5	0.7-1.6	0.2-0.7	0.5-0.7
Davonte Durst	5	1.8	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.4	0.6-1.4	0.2-0.6	0.4-0.6
Team	200	70.2	33.2	12.7	6.6	3.1	15.1	23.9-54.0	6.7-21.9	15.8-22.5

UTSA simulated box score

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT
KJ Tenner	31	13.0	3.1	3.9	1.4	0.0	1.5	4.0-9.0	1.4-4.0	3.6-4.9
Preston Turner	21	8.7	2.9	0.8	0.8	0.1	1.0	3.2-7.8	1.6-4.7	0.8-1.2
Isaiah Watts	21	8.4	2.4	0.7	1.5	0.3	1.0	3.0-7.1	1.3-3.8	1.2-1.7
Josiah LeGree	20	9.7	2.8	2.9	0.5	0.2	2.2	3.7-8.6	1.5-4.4	0.7-1.0
JJ Kelly	19	4.5	3.3	0.7	0.7	0.2	1.1	1.7-4.1	0.6-1.8	0.4-0.6
Isaiah Coleman	18	7.1	4.1	1.0	0.9	0.2	1.0	2.6-5.4	0.6-1.8	1.3-1.9
Shey Eberwein	17	7.6	3.0	2.1	1.0	0.3	0.5	2.6-5.9	1.0-2.9	1.4-1.9
Mike Broxton Jr.	16	4.2	1.9	0.0	0.4	1.4	0.2	1.5-3.4	0.5-1.5	0.6-0.9
Jayson Peterson	14	2.6	2.3	0.0	1.1	0.0	1.4	0.9-2.0	0.3-0.8	0.6-0.8
Demari Williams	13	5.3	1.6	0.9	0.6	0.0	0.9	2.0-4.2	0.6-1.7	0.8-1.1
Chinedum Okpukpara	10	2.5	1.5	0.4	0.3	0.3	0.4	1.0-2.3	0.3-0.8	0.2-0.2
Team	200	73.6	28.9	13.4	9.2	3.0	11.2	26.2-59.8	9.7-28.2	11.6-16.2

Every possession played out from each team's shooting, turnovers, rebounding and pace and each player's minutes and usage, 10,000 times. Early season: leans on last season until teams have a few weeks of games.

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