Belgium vs Italy

Champions League

Belgium

3-0-2

Sun, Nov 15, 2:45 PM ET

Italy

3-1-1

King Baudouin Stadium

Who wins: Belgium 45%

The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. Belgium won 45% of them. A draw in 27%. The most likely final: Belgium 2, Italy 1. See the full Sim

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All news

Last meeting: Italy 2, Belgium 1 (Jul 2).

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Chirp Sim

10,000 simulated matches

45%

BEL win

27%

Draw

28%

ITA win

Expected goals

BEL 1.64, ITA 1.28

Most likely

1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%)

Both score

58%

3+ goals

55%

Likely scorers	Goal	Shots	On target	Assist

Attack and defense ratings for every club from its matches in every competition, goals credited by minutes and threat, 10,000 times. One side has few matches with us, so this leans on the average.

The Sim

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Cheat sheet

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Leaders

BELITA

Goals

Kevin De Bruyne

Matches: 4, Goals: 3

Pio Esposito

Matches: 5, Goals: 4

Assists

Charles De Ketelaere

Matches: 5, Assists: 2

Pio Esposito

Matches: 5, Assists: 1

Total Shots

Kevin De Bruyne

Pio Esposito

Accurate Passes

Brandon Mechele

240

Alessandro Bastoni

220

Saves

Senne Lammens

Gianluigi Donnarumma

Belgium vs Italy

Who wins: Belgium 45%

Latest

Chirp Sim

Leaders

Season seriesITA leads series 3-1-1

Latest

Chirp Sim