Western Michigan Broncos Women vs Dayton Flyers Women

Women's College Basketball

W Michigan W

0-2

51-50

Q4 0:50

Dayton W

1-1

UD Arena

Game flow

WMU leadsBiggest lead WMU 3, DAY 10

DAY leads

Run

6-0

Team fouls, Q4

WMU4

DAY2

Hot, last 5 min

Nobody on a heater

Team	1	2	3	4	T
WMU	11	12	18	10	51
DAY	16	13	13	8	50

JUST SCORED · Q4 1:46

Three! Jumper, 25 ft

Alli Carlson

Who wins?

Closed

No picks from the flock yet. Yours is the first.

Chirp Sim

Live: where it ends up

Projected final

WMU 55, DAY 52

Combined points

107

Spread and total: game

WMU -0.586%14%DAY +0.5

WMU -1.568%32%DAY +1.5

WMU -2.561%39%DAY +2.5

WMU -3.538%62%DAY +3.5

WMU -4.530%70%DAY +4.5

O 101.599%1%U 101.5

O 103.569%32%U 103.5

O 105.552%48%U 105.5

O 107.540%60%U 107.5

O 109.528%72%U 109.5

From 4,000 simulated games.

Players to watch	PTS	REB	AST	Chance
DAYOlivia Leung	15.6	2.2	0.1	20+ 3%
DAYSophie Swanson	12.2	5.0	1.0	15+ 3%
WMUKailey Starks	11.6	7.3	3.1	15+ 3%
WMUAlli Carlson	8.4	3.2	2.2	10+ 14%
WMUNile Muguira Orbe	8.3	3.1	1.1	10+ 13%
WMUCasey Vyverman	8.0	5.0	0.0	10+ 2%

W Michigan W simulated box score

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	TO	FG	3PT	FT
Alli Carlson	49	8.4	3.2	2.2	0.0	0.1	0.1-0.4	0.1-0.2	0.0-0.1
Kailey Starks	40	11.6	7.3	3.1	0.1	0.1	0.2-0.5	0.1-0.2	0.1-0.2
Nile Muguira Orbe	36	8.3	3.1	1.1	0.0	0.1	0.1-0.3	0.1-0.2	0.0-0.0
Alli Harness	30	3.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.1-0.2	0.0-0.1	0.0-0.0
Zuri Ransom	15	7.2	5.1	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.1-0.2	0.0-0.0	0.0-0.0
Faith Wiseman	8	2.1	3.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0-0.1	0.0-0.0	0.0-0.0
Emily Van Timmeren	6	4.1	6.0	2.0	0.0	0.0	0.0-0.1	0.0-0.0	0.0-0.0
Casey Vyverman	5	8.0	5.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0-0.1	0.0-0.0	0.0-0.0
Isabella Miljkovic	5	2.1	3.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0-0.1	0.0-0.0	0.0-0.0
Morasha Wiggins	5	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0-0.0	0.0-0.0	0.0-0.0
Team	200	55.2	35.9	10.5	0.1	0.4	0.6-2.0	0.3-0.7	0.1-0.3

Dayton W simulated box score

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT
Olivia Leung	53	15.6	2.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2-0.5	0.1-0.2	0.1-0.1
Molly O'Riordan	46	7.4	7.2	1.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.2-0.4	0.0-0.1	0.1-0.1
Fatima Ibrahim	46	4.6	6.4	1.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2-0.4	0.0-0.0	0.1-0.2
M.G. Talle	23	6.2	9.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1-0.1	0.0-0.0	0.1-0.1
Sophie Swanson	16	12.2	5.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1-0.2	0.0-0.1	0.0-0.0
Milee Smith	9	6.1	4.0	3.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0-0.1	0.0-0.0	0.0-0.0
Brooke McLeod	9	0.1	4.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0-0.0	0.0-0.0	0.0-0.0
Team	200	52.2	37.9	7.2	0.1	0.1	0.4	0.8-1.7	0.1-0.4	0.4-0.5

Every possession played out from each team's shooting, turnovers, rebounding and pace and each player's minutes and usage, 4,000 times. Early season: leans on last season until teams have a few weeks of games.

The Sim

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Cheat sheet

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Every player rated

Chirp Rating, 3.0 to 10.0

Team stats

WMUDAY

18-60FG16-51

30Field Goal %31

7-273PT5-12

26Three Point %42

8-12FT13-18

67Free Throw %72

38Rebounds42

9Offensive Rebounds9

29Defensive Rebounds33

9Assists7

8Steals1

0Blocks2

7Turnovers14

0Team Turnovers1

7Total Turnovers14

0Technical Fouls0

0Total Technical Fouls0

12Points Off Turnovers11

4Fast Break Points4

22Points in Paint20

14Fouls12

3Largest Lead10

7Lead Changes7

12Percent Led84

Top rated so far

Olivia Leung

DAY · 15 PTS, 2 REB

6.8

Win probability

58%WMU to win

WMUDAY

Tap or hover the line to see the play. Dots mark the biggest swings.

Play by play

Q4 1:20
Misses layup
Milee Smith misses layup
M. Smith · 6 PTS
Q4 1:44DAY
Shorttimeout
Dayton Timeout
THREEQ4 1:46
Three! Jumper, 25 ft
A. Carlson · 8 PTS · ast K. Starks
Alli Carlson makes 25-foot three point jumper (Kailey Starks assists)
WMU 51 - 50 DAY
Q4 1:58
Defensive rebound
Casey Vyverman Defensive Rebound.
Q4 2:01
Misses 10-foot jumper
Milee Smith misses 10-foot jumper
M. Smith · 6 PTS
THREEQ4 2:25
Three! Jumper, 24 ft
N. Muguira Orbe · 8 PTS · ast A. Carlson
Nile Muguira Orbe makes 24-foot three point jumper (Alli Carlson assists)
WMU 48 - 50 DAY
Q4 2:26
Offensive Rebound
Alli Carlson Offensive Rebound.
A. Carlson · 8 PTS
Q4 2:31
Misses layup
Kailey Starks misses layup
K. Starks · 11 PTS
Q4 2:45
TO
Traveling turnover
Molly O'Riordan traveling turnover
M. O'Riordan · 7 PTS
Q4 2:56
Defensive rebound
Fatima Ibrahim Defensive Rebound.
Q4 2:59
Misses 7-foot jumper
Emily Van Timmeren misses 7-foot jumper
E. Van Timmeren · 2 PTS
Q4 3:15
+1
Makes free throw 2 of 2
Olivia Leung makes free throw 2 of 2
O. Leung · 15 PTS
WMU 45 - 50 DAY
Q4 3:15
+1
Makes free throw 1 of 2
Olivia Leung makes free throw 1 of 2
O. Leung · 15 PTS
WMU 45 - 49 DAY
Q4 3:15
Foul on Casey Vyverman
Foul on Casey Vyverman.
C. Vyverman · 8 PTS
Q4 3:20
Defensive rebound
Sophie Swanson Defensive Rebound.
Q4 3:28
Misses layup
Alli Carlson misses layup
A. Carlson · 8 PTS
Q4 3:33
Steal
Alli Carlson Steal.
A. Carlson · 8 PTS
Q4 3:33
TO
Bad pass turnover
Fatima Ibrahim bad pass turnover
F. Ibrahim · 4 PTS
Q4 3:57
+2
Layup
Zuri Ransom makes layup (Emily Van Timmeren assists)
Z. Ransom · 7 PTS · ast E. Van Timmeren
WMU 45 - 48 DAY
Q4 4:10
Defensive rebound
Nile Muguira Orbe Defensive Rebound.
Q4 4:13
Misses 7-foot jumper
Sophie Swanson misses 7-foot jumper
S. Swanson · 12 PTS
Q4 4:27
Defensive rebound
Sophie Swanson Defensive Rebound.
Q4 4:30
Misses 9-foot jumper
Zuri Ransom misses 9-foot jumper
Z. Ransom · 7 PTS
Q4 4:31
Offensive Rebound
Zuri Ransom Offensive Rebound.
Z. Ransom · 7 PTS
Q4 4:35
Misses 25-foot three point jumper
Alli Carlson misses 25-foot three point jumper
A. Carlson · 8 PTS