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Levante vs Elche

La Liga

2-5-5

vs

Mon, Nov 23, 3:00 PM ET

2-4-6

Estadi Ciutat de València

Who wins: Levante 44%

The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. Levante won 44% of them. A draw in 27%. The most likely final: Levante 2, Elche 1. See the full Sim

Referee

Not named yet

Usually announced a few days before kickoff · league average 5.1 cards a game

Leaders

LEVELC

Goals

Roger Brugué

Matches: 11, Goals: 5

Fer Niño

Matches: 12, Goals: 6

Assists

Jon Ander Olasagasti

Matches: 12, Assists: 1

José Antonio Morente

Matches: 12, Assists: 3

Total Shots

Roger Brugué

26

Fer Niño

22

Accurate Passes

Aïssa Mandi

484

Víctor Chust

807

Saves

Mathew Ryan

44

Matías Dituro

37

Season seriesLEV leads series 3-1-1

Chirp Sim

10,000 simulated matches

44%

LEV win

27%

Draw

29%

ELC win

Expected goals

LEV 1.61, ELC 1.25

Most likely

1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%)

Both score

56%

3+ goals

53%

Likely scorers	Goal	Shots	On target	Assist
LEVRoger Brugué	28%	2.7	1.0	0.07
ELCFer Niño	25%	1.6	0.6	0.02
LEVIván Romero	21%	2.2	0.8	0.05
LEVDani Requena	17%	1.7	0.6	0.15
ELCLucas Cepeda	14%	1.7	0.6	0.10
LEVIfeanyi Ndukwe	12%	0.8	0.2	0.05
LEVJon Ander Olasagasti	11%	1.5	0.4	0.17
LEVEtta Eyong	11%	1.1	0.4	0.06

Attack and defense ratings for every club from its matches in every competition, goals credited by minutes and threat, 10,000 times.

The Sim

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Cheat sheet

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Projections

All La Liga projections

Player	Stat	His usual	Sim projects	Chance he gets there	Did it, last 10	Last 5
Iván RomeroLEV vs ELC · Mon 3:00 PM	Shots on target	1+	0.8	56%	8 of 10
Germán ValeraELC @ LEV · Mon 3:00 PM	Shots	1+	0.9	55%	6 of 10

Where the sim and his last 10 games agree. His usual is the number he beat in about half of his last 20 games.