Strasbourg vs Brest

Ligue 1

Strasbourg

3-1-6

Sat, Nov 21, 2:45 PM ET

Brest

4-3-3

Stade de la Meinau

Who wins: Strasbourg 44%

The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. Strasbourg won 44% of them. A draw in 26%. The most likely final: Strasbourg 2, Brest 1. See the full Sim

Latest

All news

Strasbourg has dropped 4 of the last 5.

ESPN · Nov 7

Reyna was fit and firing for Strasbourg. His latest injury is a heartbreaker for the USMNT star

ESPN · Oct 17

USMNT's Reyna continues resurgence with goal in Strasbourg loss to PSG

Recap · Oct 17

USMNT's Gio Reyna scores in Strasbourg's defeat to PSG

Chirp Sim

10,000 simulated matches

44%

STR win

26%

Draw

30%

BRE win

Expected goals

STR 1.75, BRE 1.38

Most likely

1-1 (12%), 2-1 (8%), 2-0 (7%)

Both score

62%

3+ goals

59%

Likely scorers	Goal	Shots	On target	Assist
STRConrad Harder	26%	2.6	1.0	0.18
BRELudovic Ajorque	25%	2.0	0.7	0.14
STRGessime Yassine	23%	1.6	0.7	0.23
STRGiovanni Reyna	20%	1.3	0.5	0.03
BREKamory Doumbia	19%	1.8	0.6	0.15
STRDário Essugo	18%	1.4	0.4	0.13
BREPathé Mboup	17%	1.8	0.7	0.06
STROso	14%	1.3	0.4	0.24

Attack and defense ratings for every club from its matches in every competition, goals credited by minutes and threat, 10,000 times.

The Sim

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Cheat sheet

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Projections

All Ligue 1 projections

Player	Stat	His usual	Sim projects	Chance he gets there	Did it, last 10
Conrad HarderSTR vs BRE · Sat 2:45 PM	Shots on target	1+	1	60%	5 of 8
Ludovic AjorqueBRE @ STR · Sat 2:45 PM	Shots on target	1+	0.7	54%	8 of 10
Pathé MboupBRE @ STR · Sat 2:45 PM	Shots on target	1+	0.7	53%	8 of 10
Hugo MagnettiBRE @ STR · Sat 2:45 PM	Shots	1+	0.9	55%	8 of 10