Texas State Bobcats vs UTSA Roadrunners

College Basketball

Texas St

4-0

Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 PM ET

UTSA

2-1

UTSA Convocation Center

Who wins: Texas St 63%

The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. Texas St won 63% of them. The most likely final: Texas St 77, UTSA 72. See the full Sim

Who wins?

Closes in 1d 20h

TXST4-0

UTSA2-1

Latest

All news

Texas St has won 4 straight.

ESPN · 9h ago

UTSA moves on from head coach Claunch; Bowman takes helm rest of season

Preview · 18h ago

Southern Miss visits Texas State after Pernell's 26-point game

Recap · 2d ago

Tenner scores 18, UTSA beats Seattle U 86-59

Chirp Sim

10,000 simulated games

63%

TXST win

37%

UTSA win

Typical final

TXST 77, UTSA 72

Combined points

149

Spread and total: game

TXST -3.554%46%UTSA +3.5

TXST -4.551%49%UTSA +4.5

TXST -5.549%51%UTSA +5.5

TXST -6.547%53%UTSA +6.5

TXST -7.545%55%UTSA +7.5

O 144.555%45%U 144.5

O 146.553%47%U 146.5

O 148.550%50%U 148.5

O 150.548%52%U 150.5

O 152.545%55%U 152.5

1st half (score at halftime)

TXST -0.555%45%UTSA +0.5

TXST -1.553%47%UTSA +1.5

TXST -2.550%50%UTSA +2.5

TXST -3.547%53%UTSA +3.5

TXST -4.545%55%UTSA +4.5

O 70.559%41%U 70.5

O 72.555%46%U 72.5

O 74.550%50%U 74.5

O 76.546%55%U 76.5

O 78.541%59%U 78.5

From 10,000 simulated games.

Players to watch	PTS	REB	AST	Chance
TXSTDJ Hall	13.1	7.3	2.2	15+ 37%
UTSAKJ Tenner	12.7	3.0	3.8	15+ 34%
TXSTPaul Djobet	11.4	5.5	1.9	15+ 26%
UTSAJosiah LeGree	9.3	2.7	2.9	10+ 45%
TXSTRobert Fields	9.0	6.3	0.9	10+ 42%
TXSTDimp Pernell	9.0	1.5	0.8	10+ 42%

Texas St simulated box score

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT
Paul Djobet	28	11.4	5.5	1.9	0.5	0.3	1.6	4.0-8.9	1.4-4.2	2.1-2.9
DJ Hall	28	13.1	7.3	2.2	0.6	0.1	2.5	4.4-9.3	0.8-2.5	3.5-4.7
Robert Fields	24	9.0	6.3	0.9	1.2	0.5	1.6	2.3-4.4	0.3-1.0	4.1-6.0
Dimp Pernell	23	9.0	1.5	0.8	1.4	0.0	1.7	3.1-7.2	1.2-3.9	1.6-2.2
Kaden Gumbs	22	5.3	2.4	2.7	1.5	0.4	2.5	1.8-4.2	0.6-1.9	1.1-1.6
Quel'Ron House	18	7.3	1.9	2.1	0.7	0.3	1.8	2.4-5.3	0.5-1.8	2.0-2.8
KJ Younger	13	6.4	1.7	0.4	0.3	0.0	0.9	2.0-4.8	0.7-2.3	1.6-2.2
Kole Grandison	10	2.8	2.2	0.8	0.2	0.0	0.9	1.0-2.1	0.3-0.8	0.6-0.9
Caleb Steger	9	3.1	1.0	0.6	0.4	0.0	0.7	1.0-2.6	0.5-1.5	0.5-0.7
Ky Pernell	9	2.8	1.7	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.4	0.9-2.2	0.3-1.0	0.6-0.9
Ronald Jessamy	9	5.1	2.9	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.8	1.8-3.3	0.1-0.4	1.4-1.9
David Abisogun	8	1.8	1.7	0.5	0.2	1.0	0.4	0.4-1.0	0.1-0.4	0.9-1.2
Team	200	77.1	36.1	13.4	7.7	3.2	15.8	25.1-55.3	6.8-21.7	20.0-28.0

UTSA simulated box score

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT
KJ Tenner	31	12.7	3.0	3.8	1.4	0.0	1.7	4.0-9.2	1.3-4.1	3.4-4.7
Preston Turner	21	8.6	2.8	0.8	0.8	0.1	1.1	3.1-8.0	1.5-4.8	0.8-1.2
Isaiah Watts	21	8.3	2.3	0.7	1.6	0.3	1.2	3.0-7.3	1.2-3.9	1.1-1.7
Josiah LeGree	20	9.3	2.7	2.9	0.5	0.2	2.6	3.6-8.6	1.4-4.4	0.7-1.0
JJ Kelly	19	4.4	3.1	0.6	0.7	0.2	1.2	1.7-4.0	0.5-1.8	0.4-0.6
Isaiah Coleman	18	7.1	4.0	1.0	1.0	0.2	1.2	2.6-5.5	0.6-1.8	1.2-1.9
Shey Eberwein	17	7.4	2.8	2.1	1.0	0.3	0.6	2.6-6.1	0.9-3.0	1.3-1.9
Mike Broxton Jr.	16	4.2	1.9	0.0	0.4	1.4	0.2	1.5-3.5	0.5-1.5	0.6-0.9
Jayson Peterson	14	2.4	2.2	0.0	1.1	0.0	1.7	0.8-1.8	0.2-0.8	0.6-0.8
Demari Williams	13	5.1	1.5	0.9	0.6	0.0	1.0	1.9-4.2	0.5-1.7	0.7-1.0
Chinedum Okpukpara	10	2.5	1.5	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.5	1.0-2.4	0.3-0.9	0.2-0.2
Team	200	72.0	27.8	13.2	9.5	3.0	13.0	25.8-60.6	8.9-28.7	11.0-15.9

Every possession played out from each team's shooting, turnovers, rebounding and pace and each player's minutes and usage, 10,000 times. Early season: leans on last season until teams have a few weeks of games.

The Sim

Download imageImage

Cheat sheet

Download imageImage