Sassuolo vs Genoa

Serie A

2-2-7

Sun, Nov 22, 9:00 AM ET

4-1-6

Mapei Stadium

Who wins: Sassuolo 36%

The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. Sassuolo won 36% of them. A draw in 29%. The most likely final: Sassuolo 2, Genoa 1. See the full Sim

Sassuolo has lost 5 straight.

10,000 simulated matches

36%

SAS win

29%

Draw

35%

GEN win

Expected goals

SAS 1.40, GEN 1.31

Most likely

1-1 (14%), 0-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%)

Both score

55%

3+ goals

50%

Likely scorers	Goal	Shots	On target	Assist
GENMilutin Osmajic	25%	1.8	0.7	0.10
SASDomenico Berardi	22%	1.6	0.7	0.06
SASArmand Laurienté	21%	2.5	0.8	0.17
GENJunior Messias	19%	1.9	0.6	0.13
SASSebastiano Esposito	16%	1.3	0.4	0.13
GENLeo Østigard	13%	1.0	0.4	0.05
SASKieron Bowie	12%	1.4	0.4	0.02
SASKristian Thorstvedt	11%	1.0	0.3	0.07

Attack and defense ratings for every club from its matches in every competition, goals credited by minutes and threat, 10,000 times.

The Sim

Cheat sheet

Player	Stat	His usual	Sim projects	Chance he gets there	Did it, last 10
Domenico BerardiSAS vs GEN · Sun 9:00 AM	Shots on target	1+	0.7	53%	6 of 10
Sebastiano EspositoSAS vs GEN · Sun 9:00 AM	Shots	2+	1.3	43%	4 of 10
Kristian ThorstvedtSAS vs GEN · Sun 9:00 AM	Shots	2+	1	37%	4 of 10
Johan VásquezGEN @ SAS · Sun 9:00 AM	Shots	1+	0.8	54%	6 of 10
Darryl BakolaSAS vs GEN · Sun 9:00 AM	Shots	1+	0.9	56%	6 of 10