Parma vs AS Roma

Serie A

2-2-7

Sat, Nov 21, 12:00 PM ET

8-3-0

Ennio Tardini

Who wins: AS Roma 57%

The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. AS Roma won 57% of them. A draw in 27%. The most likely final: AS Roma 2, Parma 0. See the full Sim

AS Roma has won 3 straight.

10,000 simulated matches

17%

PAR win

27%

Draw

57%

ROMA win

Expected goals

PAR 0.85, ROMA 1.77

Most likely

1-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%), 0-1 (11%)

Both score

48%

3+ goals

47%

Likely scorers	Goal	Shots	On target	Assist
ROMADonyell Malen	37%	3.2	1.4	0.13
ROMAMatìas Soulè	21%	2.4	0.8	0.24
PARJosé Romero	16%	1.3	0.6	0.03
ROMARodrigo Mora	16%	1.2	0.4	0.11
ROMANiccolò Pisilli	12%	0.9	0.3	0.08
PARSimone Lontani	10%	1.0	0.2	0.02
ROMAMario Hermoso	9%	0.7	0.2	0.06
PAREl Bilal Toure	8%	1.1	0.4	0.08

Attack and defense ratings for every club from its matches in every competition, goals credited by minutes and threat, 10,000 times.

The Sim

Cheat sheet

Player	Stat	His usual	Sim projects	Chance he gets there	Did it, last 10
Matìas SoulèROMA @ PAR · Sat 12:00 PM	Shots on target	1+	0.8	57%	7 of 10
Niccolò PisilliROMA @ PAR · Sat 12:00 PM	Shots	1+	0.9	55%	7 of 10
El Bilal TourePAR vs ROMA · Sat 12:00 PM	Shots	2+	1.1	40%	4 of 10