Lazio vs Lecce

Serie A

9-2-0

Sat, Nov 21, 9:00 AM ET

3-1-7

Olimpico

Who wins: Lazio 54%

The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. Lazio won 54% of them. A draw in 27%. The most likely final: Lazio 1, Lecce 0. See the full Sim

Lecce has dropped 4 of the last 5.

10,000 simulated matches

54%

LAZ win

27%

Draw

19%

LEC win

Expected goals

LAZ 1.61, LEC 0.84

Most likely

1-0 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (11%)

Both score

46%

3+ goals

44%

Likely scorers	Goal	Shots	On target	Assist
LAZTijjani Noslin	26%	2.4	0.9	0.24
LAZGustav Isaksen	26%	2.7	0.9	0.08
LAZDavide Frattesi	19%	1.9	0.6	0.03
LECKonan N’Dri	13%	1.5	0.5	0.02
LAZKenneth Taylor	12%	1.1	0.3	0.09
LAZMattia Zaccagni	12%	1.5	0.5	0.15
LAZAndrea Pinamonti	9%	0.7	0.2	0.05
LECAmar Ahmed	9%	1.0	0.3	0.03

Attack and defense ratings for every club from its matches in every competition, goals credited by minutes and threat, 10,000 times.

The Sim

Cheat sheet

Player	Stat	His usual	Sim projects	Chance he gets there	Did it, last 10
Davide FrattesiLAZ vs LEC · Sat 9:00 AM	Shots	2+	1.9	54%	6 of 10
Amar AhmedLEC @ LAZ · Sat 9:00 AM	Shots	2+	1	37%	3 of 10
Oumar NgomLEC @ LAZ · Sat 9:00 AM	Shots	1+	0.9	55%	6 of 10
Youssef MalehLEC @ LAZ · Sat 9:00 AM	Shots	1+	1	59%	7 of 10