AC Milan vs Frosinone

Serie A

7-3-1

Sun, Nov 22, 12:00 PM ET

6-2-3

San Siro

Who wins: Milan 42%

The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. Milan won 42% of them. A draw in 24%. The most likely final: Milan 2, Frosinone 1. See the full Sim

Milan has won 4 of the last 5.

10,000 simulated matches

42%

MIL win

24%

Draw

35%

FRO win

Expected goals

MIL 1.88, FRO 1.72

Most likely

1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%)

Both score

69%

3+ goals

69%

Likely scorers	Goal	Shots	On target	Assist
MILGonçalo Ramos	30%	3.6	1.4	0.15
MILChristian Pulisic	27%	2.5	1.0	0.13
FROGiacomo Calo	26%	2.1	0.8	0.07
FROAntonio Raimondo	24%	1.7	0.6	0.02
MILAlphadjo Cissè	21%	1.1	0.5	0.02
MILDiego Moreira	19%	1.2	0.5	0.24
FROFarès Ghedjemis	19%	2.6	0.9	0.30
MILAdrien Rabiot	17%	1.3	0.4	0.16

Attack and defense ratings for every club from its matches in every competition, goals credited by minutes and threat, 10,000 times.

The Sim

Cheat sheet

Player	Stat	His usual	Sim projects	Chance he gets there	Did it, last 10
Christian PulisicMIL vs FRO · Sun 12:00 PM	Shots on target	1+	1	61%	7 of 10
Alphadjo CissèMIL vs FRO · Sun 12:00 PM	Shots	2+	1.1	39%	3 of 9
Adrien RabiotMIL vs FRO · Sun 12:00 PM	Shots	2+	1.3	44%	4 of 10
Strahinja PavlovicMIL vs FRO · Sun 12:00 PM	Shots	1+	1	57%	6 of 10
Ilario MonterisiFRO @ MIL · Sun 12:00 PM	Shots	1+	0.8	53%	6 of 10