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Bologna vs Udinese

Serie A

5-2-4

vs

Sun, Nov 22, 9:00 AM ET

1-2-8

Renato Dall'Ara

Who wins: Bologna 47%

The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. Bologna won 47% of them. A draw in 28%. The most likely final: Bologna 1, Udinese 0. See the full Sim

Referee

Not named yet

Usually announced a few days before kickoff · league average 3.5 cards a game

Leaders

BOLUDI

Goals

Federico Bernardeschi

Matches: 11, Goals: 3

Jurgen Ekkelenkamp

Matches: 11, Goals: 3

Assists

Juan Miranda

Matches: 10, Assists: 5

Hassane Kamara

Matches: 11, Assists: 2

Total Shots

Federico Bernardeschi

28

Jurgen Ekkelenkamp

27

Accurate Passes

Lewis Ferguson

751

Jesper Karlström

456

Saves

Lukasz Skorupski

20

Maduka Okoye

43

Season seriesBOL leads series 2-0-3

More Serie A games on November 22

Chirp Sim

10,000 simulated matches

47%

BOL win

28%

Draw

25%

UDI win

Expected goals

BOL 1.56, UDI 1.09

Most likely

1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-0 (9%)

Both score

53%

3+ goals

48%

Likely scorers	Goal	Shots	On target	Assist
BOLFederico Bernardeschi	31%	3.2	1.2	0.08
BOLTommaso Pobega	20%	1.9	0.6	0.06
UDIKeinan Davis	18%	1.7	0.6	0.13
UDIJurgen Ekkelenkamp	17%	1.5	0.5	0.09
BOLSamuel Mbangula	15%	1.0	0.3	0.04
BOLJens Odgaard	14%	1.7	0.6	0.09
UDIMatteo Palma	13%	1.0	0.3	0.04
BOLNicolo Casale	10%	1.0	0.3	0.04

Attack and defense ratings for every club from its matches in every competition, goals credited by minutes and threat, 10,000 times.

The Sim

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Cheat sheet

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Projections

All Serie A projections

Player	Stat	His usual	Sim projects	Chance he gets there	Did it, last 10	Last 5
Nicolo CasaleBOL vs UDI · Sun 9:00 AM	Shots	1+	1	59%	6 of 10

Where the sim and his last 10 games agree. His usual is the number he beat in about half of his last 20 games.