Como vs Cagliari

Serie A

7-2-2

Sat, Nov 21, 9:00 AM ET

5-1-5

Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Who wins: Como 69%

The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. Como won 69% of them. A draw in 21%. The most likely final: Como 2, Cagliari 0. See the full Sim

Cagliari has dropped 4 of the last 5.

10,000 simulated matches

69%

COMO win

21%

Draw

11%

CAG win

Expected goals

COMO 2.17, CAG 0.76

Most likely

2-0 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 1-1 (10%)

Both score

47%

3+ goals

55%

Likely scorers	Goal	Shots	On target	Assist
COMOAnastasios Douvikas	45%	3.0	1.4	0.06
COMONico Paz	30%	3.2	1.1	0.19
COMOLucas Da Cunha	19%	1.7	0.6	0.11
COMOMartin Baturina	19%	1.3	0.5	0.09
COMOJacobo Ramón	13%	1.2	0.4	0.08
COMOMarc-Oliver Kempf	12%	0.9	0.3	0.06
CAGDaniel Maldini	12%	0.8	0.3	0.03
CAGPaul Mendy	11%	1.3	0.3	0.07

Attack and defense ratings for every club from its matches in every competition, goals credited by minutes and threat, 10,000 times.

The Sim

Cheat sheet

Player	Stat	His usual	Sim projects	Chance he gets there	Did it, last 10
Anastasios DouvikasCOMO vs CAG · Sat 9:00 AM	Shots	3+	3	54%	6 of 10
Jacobo RamónCOMO vs CAG · Sat 9:00 AM	Shots	2+	1.2	41%	4 of 10
Alessandro RomanoCAG @ COMO · Sat 9:00 AM	Shots	1+	0.8	54%	9 of 10
Yan CoutoCOMO vs CAG · Sat 9:00 AM	Shots	1+	0.9	56%	6 of 10