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Napoli vs Torino

Serie A

4-3-4

vs

Sat, Nov 21, 2:45 PM ET

4-2-5

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Who wins: Napoli 54%

The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. Napoli won 54% of them. A draw in 25%. The most likely final: Napoli 1, Torino 0. See the full Sim

Referee

Not named yet

Usually announced a few days before kickoff · league average 3.5 cards a game

Leaders

NAPTOR

Goals

Kevin De Bruyne

Matches: 11, Goals: 4

Ché Adams

Matches: 9, Goals: 4

Assists

Matteo Politano

Matches: 11, Assists: 3

Rafik Belghali

Matches: 9, Assists: 3

Total Shots

Rasmus Højlund

21

Giovanni Simeone

23

Accurate Passes

Amir Rrahmani

540

Saúl Coco

581

Saves

Alex Meret

18

Lucas Perri

25

Torino

4-2-5

Players to watch

Best Chirp Rating this season

Last 5

Napoli

4-3-4

Players to watch

Best Chirp Rating this season

Last 5

Season seriesNAP leads series 3-1-1

More Serie A games on November 21

Chirp Sim

10,000 simulated matches

54%

NAP win

25%

Draw

21%

TOR win

Expected goals

NAP 1.80, TOR 1.00

Most likely

1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-0 (10%)

Both score

52%

3+ goals

51%

Likely scorers	Goal	Shots	On target	Assist
NAPScott McTominay	34%	3.8	1.3	0.06
NAPRasmus Højlund	21%	2.0	0.7	0.10
NAPKevin De Bruyne	18%	1.3	0.5	0.16
TORGiovanni Simeone	18%	2.0	0.6	0.04
NAPNoa Lang	17%	1.8	0.7	0.13
TORChé Adams	17%	1.5	0.5	0.05
NAPMatteo Politano	14%	1.3	0.5	0.19
TORNikola Vlasic	12%	1.1	0.3	0.06

Attack and defense ratings for every club from its matches in every competition, goals credited by minutes and threat, 10,000 times.

The Sim

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Cheat sheet

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Projections

All Serie A projections

Player	Stat	His usual	Sim projects	Chance he gets there	Did it, last 10	Last 5
Rasmus HøjlundNAP vs TOR · Sat 2:45 PM	Shots	3+	2	40%	4 of 10
Nikola VlasicTOR @ NAP · Sat 2:45 PM	Shots	2+	1.1	39%	4 of 10

Where the sim and his last 10 games agree. His usual is the number he beat in about half of his last 20 games.