Alcorn State Braves vs Maryland Terrapins

College Basketball

Alcorn St

0-4

Mon, Nov 16, 6:00 PM ET

Maryland

1-2

XFINITY Center

Who wins: Maryland 88%

The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. Maryland won 88% of them. The most likely final: Maryland 89, Alcorn St 71. See the full Sim

Who wins?

Closes in 1d 0h

ALCN0-4

MD1-2

Latest

All news

Alcorn St has lost 4 straight.

Preview · 13h ago

Maryland takes on Alcorn State after Payne's 20-point outing

Recap · 2d ago

Emmou scores 17, Tarleton State takes down Alcorn State 73-69

Recap · 2d ago

Sam Lewis helps No. 6 Virginia rally past former ACC rival Maryland 87-83 to stay unbeaten

Chirp Sim

10,000 simulated games

12%

ALCN win

88%

MD win

Typical final

ALCN 71, MD 89

Combined points

160

Spread and total: game

ALCN +19.555%45%MD -19.5

ALCN +18.553%47%MD -18.5

ALCN +17.551%49%MD -17.5

ALCN +16.549%52%MD -16.5

ALCN +15.546%54%MD -15.5

O 156.554%46%U 156.5

O 158.552%48%U 158.5

O 160.549%51%U 160.5

O 162.547%53%U 162.5

O 164.544%56%U 164.5

1st half (score at halftime)

ALCN +10.555%45%MD -10.5

ALCN +9.552%48%MD -9.5

ALCN +8.550%50%MD -8.5

ALCN +7.547%53%MD -7.5

ALCN +6.544%56%MD -6.5

O 76.559%41%U 76.5

O 78.554%46%U 78.5

O 80.550%50%U 80.5

O 82.545%55%U 82.5

O 84.541%59%U 84.5

From 10,000 simulated games.

Players to watch	PTS	REB	AST	Chance
ALCNTrey Thomas	19.2	1.6	1.5	20+ 46%
MDPharrel Payne	17.6	5.4	0.9	20+ 35%
MDKaden House	13.6	3.0	2.1	15+ 41%
MDAndre Mills	12.9	4.1	1.6	15+ 36%
MDDJ Wagner	10.8	3.5	3.8	10+ 58%
MDTomislav Buljan	9.6	7.7	1.0	10+ 49%

Alcorn St simulated box score

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT
Trey Thomas	27	19.2	1.6	1.5	2.1	0.3	2.1	7.5-17.7	2.9-8.5	1.3-1.9
Jahseem Felton	24	7.5	1.8	1.2	0.4	0.0	1.5	3.0-7.1	1.3-3.8	0.2-0.3
Saxby Sunderland	21	7.6	1.9	3.0	0.7	0.0	2.2	2.2-5.1	0.8-2.3	2.3-3.3
Adam Tokpah	20	3.5	6.0	0.7	0.7	0.4	1.2	0.8-1.5	0.1-0.4	1.9-2.7
Ma'Kye Taylor	19	4.5	2.8	1.3	0.1	0.1	1.8	1.7-3.8	0.5-1.6	0.5-0.8
Braylhan Thomas	18	7.3	2.1	1.8	0.0	0.0	1.6	2.7-6.2	1.1-3.3	0.8-1.2
Bobby Cannon	18	6.3	2.1	0.6	0.7	0.4	1.4	2.1-4.5	0.7-2.0	1.5-2.0
Ethan Griffin	16	4.6	2.7	0.0	0.7	1.5	1.0	1.6-3.5	0.4-1.2	0.9-1.4
Nigel Thomas	10	2.3	1.2	0.6	0.0	0.0	0.7	0.8-1.7	0.3-0.9	0.5-0.7
Christian Richardson	10	3.2	2.1	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.9	1.0-2.0	0.2-0.6	1.0-1.4
Josh Powell	9	3.1	1.5	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.1	1.0-2.3	0.4-1.0	0.8-1.1
Jaylin Craine	9	2.5	0.9	2.0	0.3	0.0	1.0	0.9-2.0	0.3-0.8	0.4-0.6
Team	200	71.6	26.7	13.3	6.5	2.9	15.5	25.3-57.4	9.0-26.4	12.1-17.4

Maryland simulated box score

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT
Pharrel Payne	30	17.6	5.4	0.9	0.8	1.1	2.1	5.0-8.9	0.7-2.1	6.9-9.7
DJ Wagner	27	10.8	3.5	3.8	1.5	0.3	1.1	4.1-8.6	1.2-3.7	1.5-2.1
Kaden House	23	13.6	3.0	2.1	1.2	0.0	0.9	3.5-7.2	0.9-2.7	5.7-7.6
Andre Mills	22	12.9	4.1	1.6	1.4	0.1	1.2	4.8-10.4	1.4-4.4	1.8-2.5
Tomislav Buljan	21	9.6	7.7	1.0	1.2	0.2	1.4	3.1-5.5	0.2-0.6	3.2-4.5
Bishop Boswell	21	5.7	3.3	2.4	0.7	0.0	1.4	2.1-4.6	0.7-2.2	0.8-1.2
Mike McNair Jr.	20	7.4	2.4	1.2	1.1	0.3	0.7	2.3-5.3	1.1-3.1	1.6-2.2
Robert Jennings II	16	3.9	2.1	0.0	0.5	0.0	1.5	1.1-2.4	0.4-1.1	1.2-1.7
Baba Oladotun	15	5.2	2.4	0.4	0.8	0.7	0.7	1.7-3.5	0.4-1.4	1.4-2.1
Austin Brown	5	2.2	0.9	0.9	0.0	0.4	0.1	0.8-1.7	0.2-0.8	0.4-0.6
Team	200	88.9	34.8	14.3	9.2	3.1	11.1	28.5-58.1	7.2-22.1	24.5-34.2

Every possession played out from each team's shooting, turnovers, rebounding and pace and each player's minutes and usage, 10,000 times. Early season: leans on last season until teams have a few weeks of games.

The Sim

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Cheat sheet

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Projections

All NCAAB projections

Player	Stat	His usual	Sim projects	Chance he gets there	Did it, last 10
Pharrel PayneMD vs ALCN · Mon 6:00 PM	Pts + Reb + Ast	26+	23.9	44%	4 of 10
Tomislav BuljanMD vs ALCN · Mon 6:00 PM	Assists	2+	1	38%	3 of 10
Christian RichardsonALCN @ MD · Mon 6:00 PM	Rebounds	3+	2.1	43%	3 of 10