LSU Tigers vs Gonzaga Bulldogs, Bad Boy Mowers Series

College Basketball

LSU

3-0

Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET

#14Gonzaga

2-0

Spokane Numerica Veterans Arena

Who wins: Gonzaga 52%

The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. Gonzaga won 52% of them. The most likely final: Gonzaga 77, LSU 76. See the full Sim

Who wins?

Closes in 36m 47s

LSU3-0

GONZ2-0

Latest

All news

LSU has won 3 straight.

Preview · 1d ago

No. 14 Gonzaga Bulldogs and the LSU Tigers square off

Recap · 5d ago

Reserves Michael Ruzic, Abdi Bashir power LSU to 90-50 victory over Louisiana Tech

ESPN · 5d ago

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. LSU Tigers: Game Highlights

Chirp Sim

10,000 simulated games

48%

LSU win

52%

GONZ win

Typical final

LSU 76, GONZ 77

Combined points

153

Spread and total: game

LSU +7.555%45%GONZ -7.5

LSU +6.552%49%GONZ -6.5

LSU +5.547%53%GONZ -5.5

LSU +4.547%53%GONZ -4.5

LSU +3.543%57%GONZ -3.5

O 156.559%41%U 156.5

O 158.554%46%U 158.5

O 160.549%51%U 160.5

O 162.544%56%U 162.5

O 164.539%61%U 164.5

1st half (score at halftime)

LSU +4.559%42%GONZ -4.5

LSU +3.555%45%GONZ -3.5

LSU +2.551%49%GONZ -2.5

LSU +1.547%53%GONZ -1.5

LSU +0.543%57%GONZ -0.5

O 77.565%35%U 77.5

O 79.557%43%U 79.5

O 81.549%51%U 81.5

O 83.541%59%U 83.5

O 85.534%66%U 85.5

Centered on the market line (shaded), shaped by 10,000 simulated games.

Players to watch	PTS	REB	AST	Chance
GONZJavon Bennett	14.5	2.7	2.3	15+ 47%
LSUDonovan Dent	13.8	1.9	4.8	15+ 43%
GONZBraden Huff	11.6	5.0	1.2	15+ 26%
LSUMichael Ruzic	10.7	6.7	1.4	10+ 57%
LSUAbdi Bashir Jr.	10.6	2.3	1.6	10+ 56%
GONZXaivian Lee	10.5	3.8	5.0	10+ 55%

LSU simulated box score

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT
Skyy Clark	33	8.5	2.7	1.9	1.0	0.0	1.3	3.2-8.3	1.4-4.9	0.8-1.1
Donovan Dent	32	13.8	1.9	4.8	1.3	1.0	1.4	4.7-11.2	1.3-4.2	3.2-4.6
Saliou Niang	26	9.2	9.4	2.7	1.7	0.0	1.8	2.5-4.9	0.1-0.5	4.1-5.6
Divine Ugochukwu	24	6.1	3.8	1.5	0.6	0.2	2.5	2.4-5.2	0.6-1.9	0.8-1.1
Michael Ruzic	23	10.7	6.7	1.4	0.2	0.9	1.1	4.4-8.4	0.6-1.8	1.4-1.9
Abdi Bashir Jr.	23	10.6	2.3	1.6	0.0	0.0	1.3	3.7-9.9	2.1-6.7	1.1-1.5
Mo Dioubate	22	9.4	4.7	0.7	0.5	0.8	0.8	3.2-6.8	0.6-1.8	2.4-3.7
Brice Dessert	18	7.5	4.6	0.3	0.3	0.7	2.1	2.8-5.8	0.3-1.1	1.6-2.3
Team	200	75.8	36.1	14.9	5.6	3.6	12.3	26.9-60.5	7.0-22.9	15.4-21.8

Gonzaga simulated box score

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT
Javon Bennett	35	14.5	2.7	2.3	2.1	0.0	1.6	4.4-11.8	2.1-6.8	3.6-4.9
Massamba Diop	30	10.3	7.7	0.8	0.7	1.1	1.9	3.4-8.2	0.7-2.4	2.6-3.7
Chauncey Wiggins	29	10.1	5.0	0.8	0.4	0.2	1.2	3.5-9.0	1.4-4.6	1.7-2.4
Xaivian Lee	28	10.5	3.8	5.0	0.8	0.0	1.6	2.9-7.8	1.3-4.2	3.4-4.7
Braden Huff	26	11.6	5.0	1.2	0.9	0.3	0.7	4.3-10.2	0.9-3.0	2.1-3.0
Davis Fogle	18	9.0	3.6	1.8	1.1	0.1	0.7	2.9-7.1	0.8-2.8	2.4-3.3
Isiah Harwell	14	4.4	2.5	0.6	1.1	0.1	0.7	1.4-3.7	0.6-1.9	1.0-1.5
Sam Funches	4	1.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.8	0.2	0.2-0.6	0.1-0.2	1.0-1.5
Izan Almansa	4	1.2	0.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4-0.9	0.1-0.4	0.3-0.5
Luca Foster	4	1.2	2.1	0.0	0.0	0.7	0.2	0.5-1.1	0.1-0.5	0.2-0.3
Carter Nilson	4	1.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4-0.9	0.1-0.4	0.3-0.4
Nathan De Sousa	4	1.0	0.4	1.0	0.2	0.0	0.3	0.1-0.4	0.0-0.1	0.7-0.9
Team	200	76.5	33.5	13.5	7.3	3.3	9.5	24.4-61.7	8.2-27.3	19.3-27.1

Every possession played out from each team's shooting, turnovers, rebounding and pace and each player's minutes and usage, 10,000 times. Early season: leans on last season until teams have a few weeks of games.

The Sim

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Cheat sheet

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Projections

All NCAAB projections

Player	Stat	His usual	Sim projects	Chance he gets there	Did it, last 10
Javon BennettGONZ vs LSU · Sat 3:30 PM	Threes	3+	2.1	43%	4 of 10
Donovan DentLSU @ GONZ · Sat 3:30 PM	Rebounds	3+	1.9	41%	4 of 10
Braden HuffGONZ vs LSU · Sat 3:30 PM	Assists	2+	1.2	42%	3 of 10
Xaivian LeeGONZ vs LSU · Sat 3:30 PM	Threes	2+	1.3	44%	4 of 10
Massamba DiopGONZ vs LSU · Sat 3:30 PM	Points	13+	10.3	41%	4 of 10
Chauncey WigginsGONZ vs LSU · Sat 3:30 PM	Pts + Reb + Ast	18+	15.8	43%	4 of 10
Skyy ClarkLSU @ GONZ · Sat 3:30 PM	Points	10+	8.5	44%	3 of 10