Capital Crusaders vs Robert Morris Colonials

College Basketball

Capital

CAPU

Sun, Nov 15, 2:00 PM ET

Robert Morris

0-3

UPMC Events Center

Who wins: Capital 62%

The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. Capital won 62% of them. The most likely final: Capital 73, Robert Morris 67. See the full Sim

Who wins?

Closes in 15h 21m

CAPU

RMU0-3

Latest

All news

Robert Morris have lost 3 straight.

ESPN · 3d ago

Arkansas downs Robert Morris at home

Recap · 3d ago

Billy Richmond III leads 5 players in double figures as No. 19 Arkansas beats Robert Morris 76-53

Preview · 4d ago

Robert Morris Colonials set to play the No. 19 Arkansas Razorbacks Wednesday

Chirp Sim

10,000 simulated games

62%

CAPU win

38%

RMU win

Typical final

CAPU 73, RMU 67

Combined points

140

Spread and total: game

CAPU -3.554%46%RMU +3.5

CAPU -4.552%48%RMU +4.5

CAPU -5.549%51%RMU +5.5

CAPU -6.547%53%RMU +6.5

CAPU -7.545%55%RMU +7.5

O 136.555%46%U 136.5

O 138.552%48%U 138.5

O 140.550%50%U 140.5

O 142.547%53%U 142.5

O 144.544%56%U 144.5

1st half (score at halftime)

CAPU -0.555%45%RMU +0.5

CAPU -1.553%47%RMU +1.5

CAPU -2.550%50%RMU +2.5

CAPU -3.547%53%RMU +3.5

CAPU -4.545%55%RMU +4.5

O 66.559%41%U 66.5

O 68.555%46%U 68.5

O 70.550%50%U 70.5

O 72.545%55%U 72.5

O 74.540%60%U 74.5

From 10,000 simulated games.

Players to watch	PTS	REB	AST	Chance
RMUKJ Garris Jr.	13.7	4.6	1.1	15+ 42%
CAPUJulian Mitchell	11.5	4.6	2.9	15+ 26%
RMUDarius Livingston	11.2	1.2	1.9	15+ 25%
RMUAce Valentine	10.5	3.1	3.8	10+ 56%
CAPUSohn McGee	9.8	3.2	4.3	10+ 50%
RMUTa'Zir Smith	9.3	2.2	1.3	10+ 45%

Capital simulated box score

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT
Julian Mitchell	31	11.5	4.6	2.9	2.6	0.0	1.8	3.9-9.0	1.2-3.6	2.4-3.4
Sohn McGee	27	9.8	3.2	4.3	3.0	0.0	1.7	3.4-7.9	1.0-3.2	1.9-2.7
Se'Ron Calloway-White	24	8.8	2.8	1.5	0.9	0.0	1.5	3.1-7.0	0.9-2.9	1.8-2.5
Kamran Ensley	23	8.5	5.7	0.0	0.0	0.9	1.4	2.8-6.5	0.9-2.7	2.0-2.9
Chris Mitchell	22	7.9	11.3	0.0	0.8	0.9	1.4	2.7-6.3	0.8-2.6	1.6-2.3
Dallas Tucker	19	7.0	0.9	1.6	0.0	0.0	1.1	2.4-5.5	0.7-2.3	1.4-2.0
Cade Davies	18	6.7	3.5	3.1	0.9	0.9	1.1	2.3-5.2	0.7-2.1	1.4-2.0
Tristyn Ambrose-Pearce	14	5.1	0.0	0.0	0.8	0.0	0.9	1.8-4.0	0.5-1.6	1.1-1.5
Devonte Curry	4	1.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5-1.1	0.2-0.5	0.3-0.4
Darren Gray	4	1.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5-1.1	0.2-0.5	0.3-0.4
Cole McClurg	4	1.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5-1.1	0.2-0.5	0.3-0.5
David Mensah	4	1.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5-1.2	0.2-0.5	0.3-0.4
AJ Davis	4	1.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5-1.1	0.2-0.5	0.3-0.5
Team	200	72.8	32.0	13.4	9.0	2.7	11.9	24.9-57.0	7.7-23.5	15.1-21.5

Robert Morris simulated box score

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT
Ace Valentine	30	10.5	3.1	3.8	1.0	0.3	3.9	3.7-8.8	1.6-4.7	1.5-2.2
Darius Livingston	30	11.2	1.2	1.9	0.4	0.1	1.9	4.1-10.5	2.4-7.1	0.6-0.8
KJ Garris Jr.	29	13.7	4.6	1.1	1.4	0.0	1.1	4.3-10.2	1.6-4.6	3.5-4.6
Samuel Obenjo	26	4.2	5.1	1.9	0.8	0.4	2.6	1.4-3.1	0.4-1.2	0.9-1.3
Eddie Cooke III	24	5.7	5.0	1.5	1.7	0.4	0.7	1.7-3.9	0.5-1.5	1.7-2.4
Ta'Zir Smith	23	9.3	2.2	1.3	1.0	0.3	1.8	2.9-6.9	1.3-3.7	2.2-3.2
KC Ugwuakazi	19	5.7	3.8	1.0	0.4	1.5	1.8	2.1-4.5	0.4-1.3	1.1-1.5
Jalik Dunkley	12	5.3	2.5	0.3	0.7	0.2	0.6	1.9-4.1	0.4-1.2	1.1-1.6
Will Occomy	7	1.9	1.8	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.6	0.8-1.7	0.2-0.7	0.2-0.2
Team	200	67.5	29.3	12.8	7.4	3.2	15.0	22.9-53.7	8.8-26.0	12.8-17.8

Every possession played out from each team's shooting, turnovers, rebounding and pace and each player's minutes and usage, 10,000 times. Early season: leans on last season until teams have a few weeks of games.

The Sim

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Cheat sheet

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Projections

All NCAAB projections

Player	Stat	His usual	Sim projects	Chance he gets there	Did it, last 10
Ace ValentineRMU vs CAPU · Sun 2:00 PM	Rebounds	4+	3.1	43%	4 of 10
Ta'Zir SmithRMU vs CAPU · Sun 2:00 PM	Assists	2+	1.3	44%	3 of 10
KC UgwuakaziRMU vs CAPU · Sun 2:00 PM	Assists	1+	1	54%	8 of 10