NHL player projections
Each game simulated 10,000 times. A player's usual is the number he beat in about half of his last 20 games.
Tonight's card
61-32 all time · last night 1/5
- Matthew Schaefer59%
1+ points · vs LA
- Jesper Bratt57%
1+ points · vs WSH
- Eetu Luostarinen64%
1 or fewer shots on goal · vs DET
- Martin Necas69%
2 or fewer shots on goal · vs OTT
- Quinn Hughes59%
1+ assists · vs TOR
Five picks a slate where the sim and his last 10 games agree. Every pick is graded the next morning, wins and losses.
Where the sim and his last 10 games agree, strongest first.
| Player | Stat | His usual | Sim projects | Chance he gets there | Did it, last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew SchaeferNYI @ LA · Thu 10:00 PM | Points | 1+ | 1 | 59% | 9 of 10 | |
| Jack EichelVGK vs NSH · Fri 10:00 PM | Points | 2+ | 1 | 30% | 2 of 10 | |
| Jesper BrattNJ vs WSH · Thu 7:00 PM | Points | 1+ | 1 | 57% | 9 of 10 | |
| Eetu LuostarinenFLA vs DET · Thu 7:30 PM | Shots on goal | 2+ | 1.3 | 36% | 1 of 10 | |
| Nick PerbixNSH @ VGK · Fri 10:00 PM | Shots on goal | 1+ | 1 | 60% | 8 of 10 | |
| Martin NecasCOL @ OTT · Thu 7:00 PM | Shots on goal | 3+ | 1.9 | 31% | 2 of 10 | |
| Matt BoldyMIN @ TOR · Thu 7:00 PM | Points | 1+ | 1 | 60% | 8 of 10 | |
| Auston MatthewsTOR vs MIN · Thu 7:00 PM | Points | 2+ | 1 | 27% | 3 of 10 | |
| Scott MorrowNYR @ VAN · Fri 9:00 PM | Shots on goal | 1+ | 1 | 60% | 8 of 10 | |
| Jesper BoqvistNJ vs WSH · Thu 7:00 PM | Shots on goal | 2+ | 1.2 | 33% | 2 of 10 | |
| Kirby DachMTL @ BOS · Thu 7:00 PM | Shots on goal | 1+ | 0.9 | 55% | 9 of 10 | |
| Sean MonahanCBJ vs TB · Thu 7:00 PM | Shots on goal | 2+ | 1.3 | 39% | 1 of 10 | |
| Yakov TreninMIN @ TOR · Thu 7:00 PM | Shots on goal | 1+ | 1 | 59% | 8 of 10 | |
| Alex IafalloWPG @ DAL · Thu 8:00 PM | Shots on goal | 2+ | 1.2 | 34% | 2 of 10 | |
| Quinn HughesMIN @ TOR · Thu 7:00 PM | Assists | 1+ | 1 | 59% | 8 of 10 | |
| Jack DruryNSH @ VGK · Fri 10:00 PM | Shots on goal | 2+ | 1.2 | 34% | 2 of 10 | |
| Dylan DeMeloWPG @ DAL · Thu 8:00 PM | Shots on goal | 1+ | 1 | 58% | 8 of 10 | |
| Eeli TolvanenNYR @ VAN · Fri 9:00 PM | Shots on goal | 2+ | 1.2 | 35% | 2 of 10 | |
| Jackson BlakeCAR @ SEA · Thu 12:00 PM | Points | 1+ | 0.8 | 53% | 9 of 10 | |
| Chris KreiderMTL @ BOS · Thu 7:00 PM | Shots on goal | 2+ | 1.3 | 36% | 2 of 10 | |
| Mikhail SergachevUTA vs STL · Thu 9:00 PM | Points | 1+ | 1 | 57% | 8 of 10 | |
| Brendan GallagherVAN vs NYR · Fri 9:00 PM | Shots on goal | 2+ | 1.1 | 31% | 3 of 10 | |
| Tanner JeannotBOS vs MTL · Thu 7:00 PM | Shots on goal | 1+ | 0.9 | 57% | 8 of 10 | |
| Matthew TkachukFLA vs DET · Thu 7:30 PM | Points | 2+ | 1.3 | 37% | 2 of 10 | |
| Justin SourdifWSH @ NJ · Thu 7:00 PM | Shots on goal | 1+ | 0.9 | 56% | 8 of 10 | |
| Adam LarssonSEA vs CAR · Thu 12:00 PM | Shots on goal | 2+ | 1.3 | 38% | 2 of 10 | |
| Elias PetterssonVAN vs NYR · Fri 9:00 PM | Points | 1+ | 0.9 | 56% | 8 of 10 | |
| Mikko RantanenDAL vs WPG · Thu 8:00 PM | Points | 2+ | 1 | 29% | 4 of 10 | |
| Matthew TkachukFLA vs DET · Thu 7:30 PM | Assists | 1+ | 1 | 60% | 7 of 10 | |
| Brandon MontourSEA vs CAR · Thu 12:00 PM | Shots on goal | 3+ | 2.1 | 35% | 3 of 10 | |
| Zach WerenskiCBJ vs TB · Thu 7:00 PM | Points | 1+ | 1 | 60% | 7 of 10 | |
| Marc GatcombVGK vs NSH · Fri 10:00 PM | Shots on goal | 2+ | 1.4 | 40% | 2 of 10 | |
| Logan O'ConnorCOL @ OTT · Thu 7:00 PM | Shots on goal | 1+ | 0.9 | 55% | 8 of 10 | |
| Connor BedardCHI vs BUF · Thu 8:00 PM | Points | 2+ | 1.2 | 36% | 3 of 10 | |
| Sean WalkerCAR @ SEA · Thu 12:00 PM | Shots on goal | 2+ | 1.9 | 54% | 8 of 10 | |
| Thomas ChabotOTT vs COL · Thu 7:00 PM | Shots on goal | 2+ | 1.1 | 31% | 4 of 10 | |
| Bo HorvatNYI @ LA · Thu 10:00 PM | Points | 1+ | 1 | 59% | 7 of 10 | |
| David PastrnakBOS vs MTL · Thu 7:00 PM | Points | 2+ | 1.1 | 31% | 4 of 10 | |
| Chandler StephensonSEA vs CAR · Thu 12:00 PM | Shots on goal | 1+ | 1 | 59% | 7 of 10 | |
| Clayton KellerUTA vs STL · Thu 9:00 PM | Points | 2+ | 1.1 | 31% | 4 of 10 | |
| Joel Eriksson EkMIN @ TOR · Thu 7:00 PM | Points | 1+ | 0.9 | 53% | 8 of 10 | |
| Cody GlassNJ vs WSH · Thu 7:00 PM | Shots on goal | 2+ | 1.3 | 37% | 3 of 10 | |
| Ryan LombergCBJ vs TB · Thu 7:00 PM | Shots on goal | 1+ | 1 | 58% | 7 of 10 | |
| Scott LaughtonLA vs NYI · Thu 10:00 PM | Shots on goal | 2+ | 1.5 | 42% | 2 of 10 | |
| Jake GuentzelTB @ CBJ · Thu 7:00 PM | Points | 1+ | 1 | 58% | 7 of 10 | |
| Amadeus LombardiNJ vs WSH · Thu 7:00 PM | Shots on goal | 2+ | 1.3 | 37% | 3 of 10 | |
| Juuso ValimakiCAR @ SEA · Thu 12:00 PM | Shots on goal | 1+ | 0.9 | 55% | 6 of 8 | |
| Mark KastelicBOS vs MTL · Thu 7:00 PM | Shots on goal | 2+ | 1.3 | 37% | 3 of 10 | |
| Brady TkachukFLA vs DET · Thu 7:30 PM | Points | 1+ | 1 | 57% | 7 of 10 | |
| Artturi LehkonenCOL @ OTT · Thu 7:00 PM | Shots on goal | 3+ | 2 | 32% | 4 of 10 |
Updated Thu 9:45 AM ET. 13 games.