St. Thomas Tommies vs Army Black Knights

College Basketball

St Thomas

2-2

Sat, Nov 14, 1:00 PM ET

Army

1-2

Christl Arena

Who wins: Army 55%

The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. Army won 55% of them. The most likely final: Army 76, St Thomas 74. See the full Sim

Who wins?

Closes in 3h 31m

STMN2-2

ARMY1-2

Latest

All news

St Thomas 1-1 on the road; Army 1-0 at home.

Preview · 1d ago

St. Thomas visits Army following Madson's 23-point game

Recap · 3d ago

Danny Young scores 18 to lead New Haven to 63-55 victory over Army

Preview · 4d ago

Army faces New Haven for non-conference matchup

Chirp Sim

10,000 simulated games

45%

STMN win

55%

ARMY win

Typical final

STMN 74, ARMY 76

Combined points

150

Spread and total: game

STMN -6.555%45%ARMY +6.5

STMN -7.551%49%ARMY +7.5

STMN -8.547%53%ARMY +8.5

STMN -9.543%57%ARMY +9.5

STMN -10.543%57%ARMY +10.5

O 143.560%40%U 143.5

O 145.555%45%U 145.5

O 147.550%51%U 147.5

O 149.545%55%U 149.5

O 151.540%60%U 151.5

1st half (score at halftime)

STMN -2.556%44%ARMY +2.5

STMN -3.552%48%ARMY +3.5

STMN -4.549%51%ARMY +4.5

STMN -5.545%55%ARMY +5.5

STMN -6.541%59%ARMY +6.5

O 70.566%34%U 70.5

O 72.558%42%U 72.5

O 74.550%50%U 74.5

O 76.543%57%U 76.5

O 78.536%65%U 78.5

Centered on the market line (shaded), shaped by 10,000 simulated games.

Players to watch	PTS	REB	AST	Chance
ARMYJacen Holloway	12.6	4.8	1.8	15+ 34%
STMNHayden Tibbits	12.3	2.5	3.3	15+ 31%
ARMYRyan Curry	12.2	1.8	3.9	15+ 32%
STMNTim Franks	12.2	5.0	1.1	15+ 32%
STMNJeremy Lorenz	12.1	7.1	1.9	15+ 30%
ARMYKevin McCarthy	11.6	4.5	1.2	15+ 28%

St Thomas simulated box score

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT
Hayden Tibbits	30	12.3	2.5	3.3	0.8	0.0	1.4	3.6-9.1	1.7-5.3	3.4-4.4
Tim Franks	28	12.2	5.0	1.1	0.3	0.3	0.9	3.6-9.6	1.8-5.9	3.2-4.1
Jeremy Lorenz	27	12.1	7.1	1.9	0.6	0.8	2.1	4.0-9.0	0.8-2.7	3.4-4.6
Carter Bjerke	25	8.9	4.8	1.5	0.3	0.7	0.9	3.3-8.6	1.6-5.1	0.7-1.0
Jonovan Wilkinson	23	6.9	0.9	0.7	1.9	0.0	0.7	2.4-6.0	1.0-3.3	1.1-1.5
Caden Wilkins	17	5.0	3.3	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.3	1.8-4.2	0.6-2.0	0.8-1.2
Austin Herro	15	3.9	2.0	1.9	0.7	0.5	1.6	1.4-3.5	0.4-1.5	0.6-0.9
Julius Wade	11	2.8	2.4	0.2	0.2	0.3	0.6	1.1-2.5	0.3-1.0	0.3-0.5
Kendall Blue	11	5.4	2.6	0.9	0.8	0.3	0.5	1.8-4.4	0.6-1.9	1.1-1.7
Brogan Madson	7	3.4	0.3	1.0	0.8	0.0	0.6	0.9-2.0	0.2-0.7	1.4-1.9
Kyle Counts	7	1.7	1.5	0.7	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.6-1.5	0.2-0.6	0.3-0.4
Team	200	74.6	32.4	13.6	7.1	3.3	9.7	24.5-60.4	9.2-30.0	16.3-22.2

Army simulated box score

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT
Jacen Holloway	30	12.6	4.8	1.8	0.4	0.1	1.9	4.6-10.1	1.2-3.7	2.1-3.2
Ryan Curry	30	12.2	1.8	3.9	1.4	0.0	2.0	4.5-10.6	2.1-6.4	1.1-1.5
Kevin McCarthy	28	11.6	4.5	1.2	0.4	0.0	1.0	4.4-10.2	2.0-5.7	0.7-1.0
Tate Laczkowski	26	9.0	6.6	2.1	1.4	0.9	1.8	3.7-7.9	0.8-2.3	0.8-1.2
Dillon Watt	21	8.2	2.8	2.7	0.8	0.0	1.5	2.6-5.9	1.0-3.0	2.0-2.9
Dylan Benner	16	4.2	3.1	0.9	0.7	0.6	1.7	1.7-3.7	0.6-1.7	0.3-0.4
Jaden Ellis	12	4.2	2.0	0.8	0.0	0.0	0.2	1.7-3.8	0.6-1.5	0.2-0.3
Nnaemeka Ikechi	12	5.3	5.2	0.0	0.0	1.2	0.2	1.6-3.0	0.1-0.2	2.0-2.8
Patrick McDonough	9	3.7	0.0	0.8	0.4	0.0	0.2	1.5-3.3	0.6-1.7	0.2-0.2
Deke Cooper Jr.	7	2.3	1.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.4	0.9-1.9	0.3-0.7	0.3-0.5
Dylan Murans	5	1.8	1.3	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.7-1.6	0.2-0.7	0.2-0.2
Jahaan Green	5	1.2	1.8	0.9	0.3	0.5	0.9	0.5-1.0	0.1-0.4	0.1-0.2
Team	200	76.3	35.6	15.1	5.8	3.3	11.9	28.4-63.0	9.6-28.0	10.0-14.4

Every possession played out from each team's shooting, turnovers, rebounding and pace and each player's minutes and usage, 10,000 times. Early season: leans on last season until teams have a few weeks of games.

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