Typical final
CIT 80, UNF 67
Spread and total: game
CIT +5.557%43%UNF -5.5
CIT +4.554%46%UNF -4.5
CIT +3.550%50%UNF -3.5
CIT +2.547%53%UNF -2.5
CIT +1.543%57%UNF -1.5
O 151.559%41%U 151.5
O 153.554%46%U 153.5
O 155.548%52%U 155.5
O 157.543%57%U 157.5
O 159.538%62%U 159.5
1st half (score at halftime)
CIT +3.557%43%UNF -3.5
CIT +2.553%47%UNF -2.5
CIT +1.549%51%UNF -1.5
CIT +0.545%55%UNF -0.5
CIT -0.541%59%UNF +0.5
O 74.566%34%U 74.5
O 76.559%41%U 76.5
O 78.551%49%U 78.5
O 80.543%57%U 80.5
O 82.536%65%U 82.5
Centered on the market line (shaded), shaped by 10,000 simulated games.
| Players to watch | PTS | REB | AST | Chance |
|---|
| CITTyler Mrus | 12.1 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 15+ 31% |
| UNFKent Jackson | 12.0 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 15+ 31% |
| CITKeynan Davis | 11.8 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 15+ 28% |
| UNFMason Watkins | 10.5 | 6.0 | 0.8 | 10+ 55% |
| CITMarcus Banks | 10.3 | 2.6 | 4.6 | 10+ 54% |
| CITAaron Ekwere | 9.8 | 5.6 | 2.8 | 10+ 50% |
The Citadel simulated box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|
| Aaron Ekwere | 25 | 9.8 | 5.6 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 3.5-6.8 | 0.6-1.8 | 2.2-3.1 |
| Marcus Banks | 24 | 10.3 | 2.6 | 4.6 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 3.7-8.3 | 0.9-2.8 | 2.0-2.8 |
| Keynan Davis | 24 | 11.8 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.8-9.0 | 1.4-4.5 | 2.7-3.8 |
| Marcos Gonzales | 22 | 7.6 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 2.6-5.8 | 0.7-2.3 | 1.7-2.5 |
| Ramel Bethea | 22 | 6.1 | 5.5 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 2.4-5.0 | 0.4-1.3 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Tyler Mrus | 21 | 12.1 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 4.7-11.1 | 2.0-6.1 | 0.6-0.9 |
| Chase Cormier | 21 | 7.3 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.8-7.2 | 1.4-4.5 | 0.2-0.3 |
| Eddrin Bronson | 10 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.0-2.5 | 0.4-1.4 | 0.6-0.8 |
| Joe Hurlburt | 8 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 0.9-2.0 | 0.3-0.8 | 0.3-0.4 |
| Logan Menefee | 7 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.1-2.4 | 0.3-0.9 | 0.6-0.8 |
| Ja'Yon Alexander | 6 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.4-3.1 | 0.4-1.2 | 0.1-0.2 |
| Jameson Heck | 6 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.8-1.7 | 0.2-0.7 | 0.2-0.2 |
| Colin McKenzie | 5 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4-1.0 | 0.1-0.4 | 0.2-0.2 |
| Team | 200 | 79.8 | 36.7 | 16.4 | 9.6 | 3.3 | 12.4 | 29.1-65.9 | 9.1-28.7 | 12.3-17.3 |
North Florida simulated box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|
| Mason Watkins | 30 | 10.5 | 6.0 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 4.4-10.2 | 1.2-3.7 | 0.5-0.7 |
| Kent Jackson | 28 | 12.0 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 4.3-11.0 | 2.1-6.6 | 1.2-1.7 |
| JR Bartelus | 25 | 9.6 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3.9-8.9 | 1.0-3.0 | 0.8-1.2 |
| Ayuba Bryant Jr. | 24 | 8.9 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 3.0-6.6 | 0.5-1.7 | 2.5-3.8 |
| Elijah Elliott | 23 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 3.6 | 1.7-4.3 | 0.6-2.0 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Eddie Placer | 21 | 7.8 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 2.9-7.0 | 1.2-3.6 | 0.9-1.2 |
| BJ Plummer | 19 | 5.5 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 2.0-4.7 | 0.8-2.3 | 0.7-1.0 |
| Mason Lee | 14 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.4-3.2 | 0.5-1.4 | 0.5-0.7 |
| Isaiah Brown | 11 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.0-2.3 | 0.2-0.7 | 0.1-0.2 |
| Chris Perry | 6 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.5-1.2 | 0.2-0.5 | 0.6-0.9 |
| Team | 200 | 67.3 | 30.8 | 12.9 | 7.4 | 3.6 | 15.9 | 25.1-59.4 | 8.3-25.5 | 8.7-12.7 |
Every possession played out from each team's shooting, turnovers, rebounding and pace and each player's minutes and usage, 10,000 times. Early season: leans on last season until teams have a few weeks of games.