Buffalo Sabres vs Dallas Stars

NHL

Sabres

8-7-4, 20 PTS

Sat, Nov 14, 8:00 PM ET

Stars

10-6-2, 22 PTS

American Airlines Center

Who wins: Stars 56%

The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. The Stars won 56% of them. The most likely final: Stars 4, Sabres 3. See the full Sim

Who wins?

Closes in 4h 54m

BUF8-7-4, 20 PTS

DAL10-6-2, 22 PTS

Latest

All news

Season series: DAL leads series 1-0.

Preview · 1d ago

Sabres enter matchup with the Stars on losing streak

ESPN · 2d ago

Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars: Game Highlights

Recap · 2d ago

Mark Scheifele and Dawson Mercer score 2 goals each as Jets roar past Stars 8-3

Chirp Sim

10,000 simulated games

44%

BUF win

56%

DAL win

Typical final

BUF 3, DAL 4

Overtime

19% of games

Players to watch	G	A	PTS	SOG	Goal	Point
DALJason Robertson	0.50	0.57	1.07	3.8	39%	66%
DALWyatt Johnston	0.35	0.68	1.04	3.1	30%	65%
DALMikko Rantanen	0.31	0.67	0.98	2.1	27%	63%
DALThomas Harley	0.26	0.66	0.92	2.5	23%	60%
DALRoope Hintz	0.31	0.54	0.85	2.3	27%	57%
BUFZach Benson	0.25	0.53	0.78	2.5	22%	54%
BUFRasmus Dahlin	0.28	0.49	0.77	2.7	24%	53%
BUFTage Thompson	0.43	0.35	0.77	3.2	35%	54%

DAL Jake Oettinger 22.6 saves on 25.4 shots · BUF Alex Lyon 24.2 saves on 27.5 shots

Shots for and against, each skater's shot rate and ice time, shooting against the goalie in net, overtime and shootouts, 10,000 times.

The Sim

Download imageImage

Cheat sheet

Download imageImage

Projections

All NHL projections

Player	Stat	His usual	Sim projects	Chance he gets there	Did it, last 10
Jason RobertsonDAL vs BUF · Sat 8:00 PM	Points	2+	1.1	30%	4 of 10
Wyatt JohnstonDAL vs BUF · Sat 8:00 PM	Points	1+	1	60%	7 of 10
Mikko RantanenDAL vs BUF · Sat 8:00 PM	Points	1+	1	58%	8 of 10
Thomas HarleyDAL vs BUF · Sat 8:00 PM	Points	1+	0.9	56%	6 of 10
Roope HintzDAL vs BUF · Sat 8:00 PM	Points	1+	0.9	54%	6 of 10
Tage ThompsonBUF @ DAL · Sat 8:00 PM	Shots on goal	4+	3.2	40%	3 of 10
Mattias SamuelssonBUF @ DAL · Sat 8:00 PM	Shots on goal	2+	1.4	39%	3 of 10
Noah OstlundBUF @ DAL · Sat 8:00 PM	Shots on goal	2+	1.9	54%	6 of 10

Where the sim and his last 10 games agree. His usual is the number he beat in about half of his last 20 games.

How they've done in this matchup

Sabres vs Stars: every meetingBUF 1-2 in 3

Sabres

Rasmus Dahlin vs DAL Mattias Samuelsson vs DAL Bowen Byram vs DAL Conor Timmins vs DAL Olen Zellweger vs DAL Owen Power vs DAL

Stars

Miro Heiskanen vs BUF Thomas Harley vs BUF Esa Lindell vs BUF Mikko Rantanen vs BUF Wyatt Johnston vs BUF Jason Robertson vs BUF

Chirp Preview

Sabres try to stop a slide against Stars in Dallas

Buffalo arrives in Dallas on a skid. The Sabres are 8-7-4 with 20 points, ninth in the Eastern Conference, and they have lost four of their last five (LLLWL). The road has been kinder than the recent run, though: they are 4-1-4 away from home. Alex Lyon starts in goal with a 2.87 GAA and an .880 save percentage over one game.

Read the preview