Mavericks vs Cavaliers Prediction and Live Score, Nov 14 2026

Who wins?

Closes in 3h 10m

DAL7-5

CLE6-7

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Cavaliers are 3 games behind Detroit in the Central.

Preview · 14h ago

Dallas heads to Cleveland for non-conference matchup

ESPN · 17h ago

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Chirp Sim

10,000 simulated games

43%

DAL win

57%

CLE win

Typical final

DAL 115, CLE 118

Combined points

233

Spread and total: game

DAL -2.555%45%CLE +2.5

DAL -3.552%48%CLE +3.5

DAL -4.548%52%CLE +4.5

DAL -5.545%55%CLE +5.5

DAL -6.542%58%CLE +6.5

O 223.558%42%U 223.5

O 225.554%46%U 225.5

O 227.549%51%U 227.5

O 229.545%55%U 229.5

O 231.541%59%U 231.5

1st half (score at halftime)

DAL -0.557%43%CLE +0.5

DAL -1.554%46%CLE +1.5

DAL -2.551%49%CLE +2.5

DAL -3.548%52%CLE +3.5

DAL -4.545%56%CLE +4.5

O 110.566%34%U 110.5

O 112.559%41%U 112.5

O 114.553%48%U 114.5

O 116.546%54%U 116.5

O 118.539%61%U 118.5

Centered on the market line (shaded), shaped by 10,000 simulated games.

Players to watch	PTS	REB	AST	Chance
CLEDonovan Mitchell	27.5	6.0	5.8	30+ 39%
DALCooper Flagg	23.2	7.3	5.8	25+ 42%
CLEJames Harden	21.1	5.9	6.8	20+ 57%
DALKyrie Irving	17.3	2.9	3.7	20+ 35%
DALP.J. Washington	15.4	8.0	1.3	15+ 54%
CLEMeleek Thomas	12.9	3.0	1.5	15+ 36%

Watch the sim play it

Mavericks simulated box score

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT
P.J. Washington	34	15.4	8.0	1.3	0.7	0.8	1.5	5.3-12.3	2.3-6.5	2.6-3.4
Cooper Flagg	33	23.2	7.3	5.8	1.7	0.6	2.6	8.6-17.8	1.4-4.3	4.7-5.6
Kyrie Irving	26	17.3	2.9	3.7	0.8	0.3	1.4	6.4-14.3	2.6-6.9	1.9-2.3
Zaccharie Risacher	24	9.6	5.3	1.5	1.1	0.8	1.0	3.7-8.3	1.3-3.9	0.8-1.1
Daniel Gafford	23	9.4	6.2	2.1	0.6	1.6	1.2	3.6-6.1	0.1-0.2	2.1-2.8
Walter Clayton Jr.	20	8.2	3.0	3.7	0.6	0.2	1.7	2.8-6.7	1.3-3.8	1.2-1.5
Naji Marshall	17	8.2	2.2	3.1	0.7	0.1	1.1	3.2-6.7	0.7-2.0	1.2-1.6
Morez Johnson Jr.	16	7.1	4.9	1.1	0.4	0.1	1.1	2.7-5.4	0.3-1.0	1.3-1.7
Caleb Martin	16	3.9	2.1	1.7	0.5	0.1	0.5	1.5-3.4	0.6-1.5	0.4-0.5
Max Christie	14	5.3	2.1	1.3	0.3	0.2	0.7	1.9-4.7	1.1-3.1	0.4-0.5
Marcus Sasser	11	4.1	0.9	1.2	0.1	0.1	0.5	1.5-3.7	0.7-2.2	0.3-0.4
Santi Aldama	6	3.1	1.6	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.5	1.1-2.5	0.4-1.1	0.4-0.5
Team	240	114.8	46.5	26.9	7.7	5.0	13.8	42.3-91.9	12.8-36.5	17.3-21.9

Cavaliers simulated box score

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT
James Harden	40	21.1	5.9	6.8	1.2	0.7	3.6	6.4-15.2	2.9-8.3	5.3-6.3
Donovan Mitchell	40	27.5	6.0	5.8	1.5	0.5	3.2	9.8-20.5	3.2-9.0	4.7-5.9
Peyton Watson	26	11.7	4.6	2.8	0.6	1.4	1.5	4.4-9.9	1.2-3.8	1.6-2.1
Meleek Thomas	26	12.9	3.0	1.5	1.3	0.4	1.0	5.1-11.1	2.3-5.9	0.4-0.5
Jarrett Allen	25	11.7	8.2	1.6	0.7	1.2	0.8	4.5-7.3	0.1-0.4	2.6-3.6
Tyrese Proctor	25	9.8	4.1	3.1	0.8	0.0	0.8	3.5-7.7	1.6-4.2	1.2-1.5
Mario Hezonja	23	9.8	7.1	1.5	0.7	0.3	1.1	3.9-8.6	1.4-4.4	0.6-0.7
Jaylon Tyson	12	4.6	1.9	1.8	0.3	0.2	0.6	1.8-4.0	0.7-2.2	0.3-0.4
Thomas Bryant	11	6.3	2.5	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.3	2.0-4.4	0.8-2.2	1.4-1.8
Craig Porter Jr.	11	2.2	2.0	2.0	0.4	0.3	0.7	0.9-1.8	0.2-0.7	0.2-0.2
Team	240	117.6	45.3	27.2	7.8	5.3	13.6	42.3-90.5	14.4-41.1	18.3-23.0

Every possession played out from each team's shooting, turnovers, rebounding and pace and each player's minutes and usage, 10,000 times.

The Sim

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Cheat sheet

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Projections

All NBA projections

Player	Stat	His usual	Sim projects	Chance he gets there	Did it, last 10
Jarrett AllenCLE vs DAL · Sat 7:30 PM	Points	15+	11.7	39%	2 of 10
Peyton WatsonCLE vs DAL · Sat 7:30 PM	Threes	2+	1.2	42%	3 of 10
Walter Clayton Jr.DAL @ CLE · Sat 7:30 PM	Threes	2+	1.3	44%	3 of 10
Morez Johnson Jr.DAL @ CLE · Sat 7:30 PM	Pts + Reb + Ast	11+	13	56%	6 of 10
Max ChristieDAL @ CLE · Sat 7:30 PM	Threes	2+	1.1	40%	3 of 10
Marcus SasserDAL @ CLE · Sat 7:30 PM	Assists	2+	1.2	42%	4 of 10
Caleb MartinDAL @ CLE · Sat 7:30 PM	Rebounds	3+	2.1	43%	3 of 10
Craig Porter Jr.CLE vs DAL · Sat 7:30 PM	Rebounds	3+	2	42%	2 of 10

Where the sim and his last 10 games agree. His usual is the number he beat in about half of his last 20 games.

How they've done in this matchup

Mavericks vs Cavaliers: every meetingDAL 1-1 in 2

Mavericks

P.J. Washington vs CLE Cooper Flagg vs CLE Tyler Smith vs CLE Max Christie vs CLE John Poulakidas vs CLE Naji Marshall vs CLE

Cavaliers

James Harden vs DAL Donovan Mitchell vs DAL Evan Mobley vs DAL Jaylon Tyson vs DAL Keon Ellis vs DAL Max Strus vs DAL

Chirp Preview

Mavericks at Cavaliers: Two Teams Searching for Form

Dallas arrives at Rocket Arena at 7-5, ninth in the Western Conference, with a 2-3 mark on the road. The Mavericks are LWWWL over their last five. Cleveland is 6-7 and second in the Central Division. The Cavaliers are 4-2 at home but have stumbled lately, going LWLLW in their last five.

Read the preview