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NBA player projections

Each game simulated 10,000 times. A player's usual is the number he beat in about half of his last 20 games.

Tonight's card

72-26 all time · last night 4/5

Five picks a slate where the sim and his last 10 games agree. Every pick is graded the next morning, wins and losses.

Where the sim and his last 10 games agree, strongest first.

PlayerStatHis usualSim projectsChance he gets thereDid it, last 10Last 5
Dylan HarperSA vs GS · Fri 9:30 PMPts + Reb + Ast25+2957%8 of 10
Joel EmbiidPHI vs TOR · Thu 7:00 PMPts + Reb + Ast37+27.629%2 of 10
Davion MitchellMIA vs CLE · Fri 8:00 PMPts + Reb + Ast23+26.256%8 of 10
Svi MykhailiukUTAH @ HOU · Fri 8:30 PMThrees2+1.141%1 of 10
Davion MitchellMIA vs CLE · Fri 8:00 PMPoints13+1554%8 of 10
Brice SensabaughUTAH @ HOU · Fri 8:30 PMPts + Reb + Ast18+13.637%2 of 10
Kentavious Caldwell-PopePHI vs TOR · Thu 7:00 PMThrees1+154%8 of 10
Cade CunninghamDET @ WSH · Thu 7:00 PMAssists9+7.643%1 of 10
Zion WilliamsonNO vs MEM · Fri 8:00 PMPts + Reb + Ast29+32.756%7 of 10
Bub CarringtonWSH vs DET · Thu 7:00 PMPts + Reb + Ast14+10.638%2 of 10
Karl-Anthony TownsNY @ IND · Fri 7:00 PMPts + Reb + Ast37+40.656%7 of 10
Tre JonesCHI vs ATL · Fri 8:00 PMPoints14+12.143%1 of 10
Onyeka OkongwuATL @ CHI · Fri 8:00 PMRebounds8+8.955%7 of 10
Jarrett AllenCLE @ MIA · Fri 8:00 PMPts + Reb + Ast24+18.233%3 of 10
Yaxel LendeborgGS @ SA · Fri 9:30 PMPoints19+21.654%7 of 10
Deandre AytonWSH vs DET · Thu 7:00 PMPoints7+539%2 of 10
Charles BasseyGS @ SA · Fri 9:30 PMPts + Reb + Ast12+13.554%7 of 10
Javonte GreenDET @ WSH · Thu 7:00 PMThrees2+1.344%1 of 10
Emanuel SharpSAC vs POR · Fri 10:00 PMThrees1+154%7 of 10
Bub CarringtonWSH vs DET · Thu 7:00 PMAssists4+2.740%2 of 10
Aaron WigginsATL @ CHI · Fri 8:00 PMPts + Reb + Ast18+20.354%7 of 10
LaMelo BallMIN vs DAL · Thu 8:00 PMThrees5+3.640%2 of 10
Robert Williams IIIPOR @ SAC · Fri 10:00 PMAssists1+154%7 of 10
Zach EdeyMEM @ NO · Fri 8:00 PMPts + Reb + Ast21+16.235%3 of 10
Karl-Anthony TownsNY @ IND · Fri 7:00 PMRebounds13+15.259%6 of 10
Scoot HendersonPOR @ SAC · Fri 10:00 PMAssists3+1.940%2 of 10
Alex CarusoOKC @ LAC · Fri 10:30 PMPts + Reb + Ast11+12.453%7 of 10
Jalen JohnsonATL @ CHI · Fri 8:00 PMPts + Reb + Ast35+28.735%3 of 10
Kelly Oubre Jr.IND vs NY · Fri 7:00 PMThrees1+153%7 of 10
Kelly Oubre Jr.IND vs NY · Fri 7:00 PMRebounds4+2.841%2 of 10
Davion MitchellMIA vs CLE · Fri 8:00 PMAssists8+8.653%7 of 10
Bilal CoulibalyWSH vs DET · Thu 7:00 PMPoints10+7.841%2 of 10
Brayden BurriesMIL @ ORL · Fri 7:00 PMPts + Reb + Ast17+20.457%6 of 10
Brook LopezLAC vs OKC · Fri 10:30 PMAssists2+1.242%2 of 10
Immanuel QuickleyTOR @ PHI · Thu 7:00 PMPts + Reb + Ast22+25.757%6 of 10
Bilal CoulibalyWSH vs DET · Thu 7:00 PMPts + Reb + Ast15+12.742%2 of 10
Cameron BoozerMEM @ NO · Fri 8:00 PMPts + Reb + Ast30+3457%6 of 10
Reed SheppardHOU vs UTAH · Fri 8:30 PMPts + Reb + Ast18+13.537%3 of 10
Jabari Smith Jr.HOU vs UTAH · Fri 8:30 PMPts + Reb + Ast24+27.556%6 of 10
Dejounte MurrayNO vs MEM · Fri 8:00 PMPts + Reb + Ast28+20.932%4 of 10
De'Andre HunterSAC vs POR · Fri 10:00 PMPts + Reb + Ast16+18.956%6 of 10
Tre JonesCHI vs ATL · Fri 8:00 PMPts + Reb + Ast21+18.442%2 of 10
Dillon BrooksPHX vs CHA · Thu 9:00 PMPoints14+16.755%6 of 10
Amen ThompsonHOU vs UTAH · Fri 8:30 PMAssists5+3.842%2 of 10
Georges NiangGS @ SA · Fri 9:30 PMPts + Reb + Ast12+14.255%6 of 10
Jaylen BrownPHI vs TOR · Thu 7:00 PMPoints26+2138%3 of 10
OG AnunobyNY @ IND · Fri 7:00 PMPts + Reb + Ast24+26.855%6 of 10
Harrison BarnesSA vs GS · Fri 9:30 PMThrees2+138%3 of 10
Darius Acuff Jr.SAC vs POR · Fri 10:00 PMPoints23+26.154%6 of 10
Jrue HolidayPOR @ SAC · Fri 10:00 PMRebounds5+444%2 of 10

Updated Thu 10:45 AM ET. 13 games.