Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL

Red Wings

7-10-3, 17 PTS

Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET

Lightning

13-4-2, 28 PTS

Benchmark International Arena

Who wins: Lightning 56%

The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. The Lightning won 56% of them. The most likely final: Lightning 4, Red Wings 3. See the full Sim

Who wins?

Closes in 1h 49m

DET7-10-3, 17 PTS

TB13-4-2, 28 PTS

Latest

All news

Season series: TB leads series 1-0.

Preview · 2d ago

Red Wings take losing streak into game against the Lightning

Recap · 1d ago

Panthers erase 4-1 deficit, top Red Wings 5-4 behind 2 goals from Lundell

ESPN · 2d ago

Detroit Red Wings vs. Florida Panthers: Game Highlights

Chirp Sim

10,000 simulated games

44%

DET win

56%

TB win

Typical final

DET 3, TB 4

Overtime

18% of games

Players to watch	G	A	PTS	SOG	Goal	Point
TBNikita Kucherov	0.42	0.82	1.25	3.4	35%	72%
TBJake Guentzel	0.42	0.59	1.01	3.2	35%	64%
TBBrandon Hagel	0.52	0.41	0.93	3.7	41%	61%
DETLucas Raymond	0.34	0.54	0.88	2.7	28%	59%
DETMoritz Seider	0.21	0.62	0.84	2.1	19%	57%
DETAlex DeBrincat	0.38	0.43	0.82	3.3	32%	56%
TBJohn Carlson	0.28	0.48	0.76	2.4	24%	54%
TBCharle-Edouard D'Astous	0.19	0.56	0.74	1.8	17%	53%

TB Andrei Vasilevskiy 23.3 saves on 26.2 shots · DET Daniil Tarasov 25.4 saves on 28.7 shots

Shots for and against, each skater's shot rate and ice time, shooting against the goalie in net, overtime and shootouts, 10,000 times.

The Sim

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Cheat sheet

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Projections

All NHL projections

Player	Stat	His usual	Sim projects	Chance he gets there	Did it, last 10
Jake GuentzelTB vs DET · Sat 7:00 PM	Points	1+	1	59%	8 of 10
Brandon HagelTB vs DET · Sat 7:00 PM	Points	1+	0.9	56%	6 of 10
Lucas RaymondDET @ TB · Sat 7:00 PM	Points	1+	0.9	55%	7 of 10
Moritz SeiderDET @ TB · Sat 7:00 PM	Shots on goal	3+	2.1	36%	4 of 10
Alex DeBrincatDET @ TB · Sat 7:00 PM	Shots on goal	4+	3.3	40%	3 of 10
Ilya MikheyevTB vs DET · Sat 7:00 PM	Shots on goal	2+	1.5	42%	4 of 10
Gage GoncalvesTB vs DET · Sat 7:00 PM	Shots on goal	1+	0.9	57%	7 of 10
Ryan McDonaghTB vs DET · Sat 7:00 PM	Shots on goal	1+	0.9	57%	6 of 10

Where the sim and his last 10 games agree. His usual is the number he beat in about half of his last 20 games.

How they've done in this matchup

Red Wings vs Lightning: every meetingDET 1-4 in 5

Red Wings

Moritz Seider vs TB Simon Edvinsson vs TB Justin Faulk vs TB Dylan Larkin vs TB Ben Chiarot vs TB Viktor Arvidsson vs TB

Lightning

Victor Hedman vs DET Darren Raddysh vs DET Brandon Hagel vs DET Nikita Kucherov vs DET JJ Moser vs DET Jake Guentzel vs DET

Chirp Preview

Red Wings Seek an End to Skid at Home-Perfect Lightning

The Red Wings arrive in Tampa on a five-game losing streak. At 7-10-3 with 17 points, they sit 13th in the Eastern Conference and are 3-5-2 on the road. Daniil Tarasov starts in goal with a 2.10 GAA and a .919 save percentage over eight games.

Read the preview